Skip to main content
icon for Wimbledon 2026: Top-10-Saatgut in der ersten Runde zu verlieren? (Herren-Einzel)

Wimbledon 2026: Top-10-Saatgut in der ersten Runde zu verlieren? (Herren-Einzel)

icon for Wimbledon 2026: Top-10-Saatgut in der ersten Runde zu verlieren? (Herren-Einzel)

Wimbledon 2026: Top-10-Saatgut in der ersten Runde zu verlieren? (Herren-Einzel)

51% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
51% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Men’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Top-10 seeds at Wimbledon 2026 include Jannik Sinner, Alexander Zverev, Félix Auger-Aliassime, Ben Shelton, Alex de Minaur, Taylor Fritz, Novak Djokovic, Daniil Medvedev, Flavio Cobolli, and Alexander Bublik, with the draw scheduled for release shortly before the June 29 start on grass.** The near-even 50.5% implied probability on no top-10 first-round exit reflects competitive balance between the overall strength of the seeded group—led by Sinner’s dominance and Djokovic’s grass-court pedigree—and Wimbledon’s historical volatility, where early upsets occur more frequently than on other surfaces due to fast conditions, variable bounces, and potential mismatches against qualifiers or grass specialists. Recent precedent from 2025, which saw multiple high seeds eliminated in round one, adds uncertainty, while factors such as pre-tournament form, minor injury concerns for players like Auger-Aliassime or Bublik, and the specific first-round pairings once announced could shift sentiment by highlighting vulnerable matchups or confirming favorable paths for favorites.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Men’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules.

If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
12. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 22, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Men’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Men’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Top-10 seeds at Wimbledon 2026 include Jannik Sinner, Alexander Zverev, Félix Auger-Aliassime, Ben Shelton, Alex de Minaur, Taylor Fritz, Novak Djokovic, Daniil Medvedev, Flavio Cobolli, and Alexander Bublik, with the draw scheduled for release shortly before the June 29 start on grass.** The near-even 50.5% implied probability on no top-10 first-round exit reflects competitive balance between the overall strength of the seeded group—led by Sinner’s dominance and Djokovic’s grass-court pedigree—and Wimbledon’s historical volatility, where early upsets occur more frequently than on other surfaces due to fast conditions, variable bounces, and potential mismatches against qualifiers or grass specialists. Recent precedent from 2025, which saw multiple high seeds eliminated in round one, adds uncertainty, while factors such as pre-tournament form, minor injury concerns for players like Auger-Aliassime or Bublik, and the specific first-round pairings once announced could shift sentiment by highlighting vulnerable matchups or confirming favorable paths for favorites.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Men’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules.

If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
12. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 22, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Men’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wimbledon 2026: Top-10-Saatgut in der ersten Runde zu verlieren? (Herren-Einzel)" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 51% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 51¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 51%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wimbledon 2026: Top-10-Saatgut in der ersten Runde zu verlieren? (Herren-Einzel)" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jun 22, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Wimbledon 2026: Top-10-Saatgut in der ersten Runde zu verlieren? (Herren-Einzel)" zu handeln, wählen Sie einfach, ob Sie glauben, dass die Antwort „Ja" oder „Nein" lautet. Jede Seite hat einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes widerspiegelt. Geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Wenn Sie „Ja"-Anteile kaufen und das Ergebnis als „Ja" aufgelöst wird, zahlt jeder Anteil $1 aus. Wird es als „Nein" aufgelöst, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen, um einen Gewinn zu sichern oder einen Verlust zu begrenzen.

Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „Wimbledon 2026: Top-10-Saatgut in der ersten Runde zu verlieren? (Herren-Einzel)" liegt bei 51% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 51% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wimbledon 2026: Top-10-Saatgut in der ersten Runde zu verlieren? (Herren-Einzel)" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.