Wisconsin’s open gubernatorial seat after incumbent Tony Evers declined a third term has produced a November 2026 matchup between the Democratic primary winner and Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, a Trump-endorsed U.S. representative who faced minimal opposition. Forecasters rate the general election a toss-up given the state’s even partisan balance, narrow recent presidential margins, and split-ticket voting patterns. The Democratic nominee—emerging from a crowded, closely contested August 11 primary between establishment-backed Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and progressive state Representative Francesca Hong—benefits from the party’s success in the prior two gubernatorial contests and stronger performance in statewide races. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing assigns Democrats a substantial edge, consistent with historical base rates for the party in this office while incorporating uncertainty over the primary outcome’s effect on general-election turnout and swing-voter coalitions in key battleground areas.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$150,318 Vol.
$150,318 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokrat
75%
Republikaner
24%
$150,318 Vol.
$150,318 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokrat
$64,221 Vol.
75%
Republikaner
$86,097 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wisconsin’s open gubernatorial seat after incumbent Tony Evers declined a third term has produced a November 2026 matchup between the Democratic primary winner and Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, a Trump-endorsed U.S. representative who faced minimal opposition. Forecasters rate the general election a toss-up given the state’s even partisan balance, narrow recent presidential margins, and split-ticket voting patterns. The Democratic nominee—emerging from a crowded, closely contested August 11 primary between establishment-backed Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and progressive state Representative Francesca Hong—benefits from the party’s success in the prior two gubernatorial contests and stronger performance in statewide races. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing assigns Democrats a substantial edge, consistent with historical base rates for the party in this office while incorporating uncertainty over the primary outcome’s effect on general-election turnout and swing-voter coalitions in key battleground areas.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volumen
$150,318Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wisconsin’s open gubernatorial seat after incumbent Tony Evers declined a third term has produced a November 2026 matchup between the Democratic primary winner and Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, a Trump-endorsed U.S. representative who faced minimal opposition. Forecasters rate the general election a toss-up given the state’s even partisan balance, narrow recent presidential margins, and split-ticket voting patterns. The Democratic nominee—emerging from a crowded, closely contested August 11 primary between establishment-backed Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and progressive state Representative Francesca Hong—benefits from the party’s success in the prior two gubernatorial contests and stronger performance in statewide races. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing assigns Democrats a substantial edge, consistent with historical base rates for the party in this office while incorporating uncertainty over the primary outcome’s effect on general-election turnout and swing-voter coalitions in key battleground areas.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$150,318Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin’s open gubernatorial seat after incumbent Tony Evers declined a third term has produced a November 2026 matchup between the Democratic primary winner and Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, a Trump-endorsed U.S. representative who faced minimal opposition. Forecasters rate the general election a toss-up given the state’s even partisan balance, narrow recent presidential margins, and split-ticket voting patterns. The Democratic nominee—emerging from a crowded, closely contested August 11 primary between establishment-backed Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and progressive state Representative Francesca Hong—benefits from the party’s success in the prior two gubernatorial contests and stronger performance in statewide races. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing assigns Democrats a substantial edge, consistent with historical base rates for the party in this office while incorporating uncertainty over the primary outcome’s effect on general-election turnout and swing-voter coalitions in key battleground areas.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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