Recent Democratic primary results have consolidated support behind Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley as the party's nominee to succeed term-limited Governor Tony Evers, boosting his general election positioning against U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Crowley narrowly defeated state Rep. Francesca Hong in the August 11 contest after re-entering the race late, with analysts citing his moderate profile and broader appeal in swing-state Wisconsin as key advantages over a more progressive alternative. A fresh poll released August 16 showed Crowley holding a slight lead over Tiffany, who secured the Republican nomination without opposition and carries an endorsement from President Trump. Traders appear to weigh these factors alongside the state's even partisan balance and historical patterns in open gubernatorial races when assessing implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$266,658 Vol.
$266,658 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokrat
76%
Republikaner
24%
$266,658 Vol.
$266,658 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokrat
$91,201 Vol.
76%
Republikaner
$175,458 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent Democratic primary results have consolidated support behind Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley as the party's nominee to succeed term-limited Governor Tony Evers, boosting his general election positioning against U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Crowley narrowly defeated state Rep. Francesca Hong in the August 11 contest after re-entering the race late, with analysts citing his moderate profile and broader appeal in swing-state Wisconsin as key advantages over a more progressive alternative. A fresh poll released August 16 showed Crowley holding a slight lead over Tiffany, who secured the Republican nomination without opposition and carries an endorsement from President Trump. Traders appear to weigh these factors alongside the state's even partisan balance and historical patterns in open gubernatorial races when assessing implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volumen
$266,658Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent Democratic primary results have consolidated support behind Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley as the party's nominee to succeed term-limited Governor Tony Evers, boosting his general election positioning against U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Crowley narrowly defeated state Rep. Francesca Hong in the August 11 contest after re-entering the race late, with analysts citing his moderate profile and broader appeal in swing-state Wisconsin as key advantages over a more progressive alternative. A fresh poll released August 16 showed Crowley holding a slight lead over Tiffany, who secured the Republican nomination without opposition and carries an endorsement from President Trump. Traders appear to weigh these factors alongside the state's even partisan balance and historical patterns in open gubernatorial races when assessing implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$266,658Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Democratic primary results have consolidated support behind Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley as the party's nominee to succeed term-limited Governor Tony Evers, boosting his general election positioning against U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Crowley narrowly defeated state Rep. Francesca Hong in the August 11 contest after re-entering the race late, with analysts citing his moderate profile and broader appeal in swing-state Wisconsin as key advantages over a more progressive alternative. A fresh poll released August 16 showed Crowley holding a slight lead over Tiffany, who secured the Republican nomination without opposition and carries an endorsement from President Trump. Traders appear to weigh these factors alongside the state's even partisan balance and historical patterns in open gubernatorial races when assessing implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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