Spain's status as UEFA Euro 2024 champions with a deep squad featuring Lamine Yamal, Pedri, Rodri, and Nico Williams underpins the 79.5% implied probability, reinforced by recent squad announcements and full training returns ahead of their June 15 opener against Cape Verde. Uruguay sits at 19.5% on the strength of experienced midfield leadership and a favorable schedule that includes an early matchup versus Saudi Arabia, though the side trails Spain in overall depth and recent form. Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde, at 1.8% and 1.3%, face steep barriers as underdogs in a group where the top two advance, with limited roster quality and historical results constraining their advancement paths. Trader consensus reflects these established hierarchies heading into the opening matchday.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSpanien 80%
Uruguay 20%
Saudi-Arabien 1.8%
Kap Verde 1.3%
$318,847 Vol.
$318,847 Vol.
Spanien
80%
Uruguay
20%
Saudi-Arabien
2%
Kap Verde
1%
Spanien 80%
Uruguay 20%
Saudi-Arabien 1.8%
Kap Verde 1.3%
$318,847 Vol.
$318,847 Vol.
Spanien
80%
Uruguay
20%
Saudi-Arabien
2%
Kap Verde
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain's status as UEFA Euro 2024 champions with a deep squad featuring Lamine Yamal, Pedri, Rodri, and Nico Williams underpins the 79.5% implied probability, reinforced by recent squad announcements and full training returns ahead of their June 15 opener against Cape Verde. Uruguay sits at 19.5% on the strength of experienced midfield leadership and a favorable schedule that includes an early matchup versus Saudi Arabia, though the side trails Spain in overall depth and recent form. Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde, at 1.8% and 1.3%, face steep barriers as underdogs in a group where the top two advance, with limited roster quality and historical results constraining their advancement paths. Trader consensus reflects these established hierarchies heading into the opening matchday.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen