England's status as a top-ranked UEFA side with exceptional squad depth, attacking talent including Harry Kane, and consistent qualification dominance drives their 70.5% implied probability as Group L favorites ahead of the June 17 opener against Croatia. Croatia's 22.5% reflects their proven experience from the 2018 final and reliable midfield leadership, tempered by an aging roster facing a tougher schedule. Ghana and Panama sit at 5.5% and 2.6% due to lower FIFA rankings, limited recent international success against elite opposition, and the need to secure points in early matches like Ghana vs. Panama. The draw in December 2025 and pre-tournament previews have reinforced these hierarchies, with no major roster disruptions altering the consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertEngland 71%
Kroatien 23%
Ghana 5.6%
Panama 2.6%
$172,926 Vol.
$172,926 Vol.
England
71%
Kroatien
23%
Ghana
6%
Panama
3%
England 71%
Kroatien 23%
Ghana 5.6%
Panama 2.6%
$172,926 Vol.
$172,926 Vol.
England
71%
Kroatien
23%
Ghana
6%
Panama
3%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...England's status as a top-ranked UEFA side with exceptional squad depth, attacking talent including Harry Kane, and consistent qualification dominance drives their 70.5% implied probability as Group L favorites ahead of the June 17 opener against Croatia. Croatia's 22.5% reflects their proven experience from the 2018 final and reliable midfield leadership, tempered by an aging roster facing a tougher schedule. Ghana and Panama sit at 5.5% and 2.6% due to lower FIFA rankings, limited recent international success against elite opposition, and the need to secure points in early matches like Ghana vs. Panama. The draw in December 2025 and pre-tournament previews have reinforced these hierarchies, with no major roster disruptions altering the consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen