Spain and France sit atop the World Cup winner market at identical implied probabilities due to their unmatched recent major-tournament pedigree and squad depth, with Spain fresh off Euro 2024 and Nations League success alongside standout young talent, and France leveraging back-to-back final appearances plus an exceptionally deep roster. England follows closely on the strength of consistent European Championship results and Premier League-caliber depth, while Argentina and Brazil trail slightly despite historical pedigree and defending-champion status. The expanded 48-team format and balanced group-stage matchups amplify the competitiveness, as multiple European sides demonstrate comparable form, injury resilience, and tactical flexibility heading into the June kickoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSpanien 16.1%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich 16.1%
England 10.5%
Portugal 10.2%
$1,846,895,940 Vol.
$1,846,895,940 Vol.

Spanien
16%

Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich
16%

England
11%

Portugal
10%

Argentinien
9%

Brasilien
8%

Deutschland
5%

Niederlande
4%

Norwegen
2%

Belgien
2%

Kolumbien
2%

Japan
2%

Marokko
2%

Mexiko
1%

Schweiz
1%

USA
1%

Türkei
1%

Uruguay
1%

Kroatien
1%

Ecuador
1%

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Senegal
1%

Elfenbeinküste
<1%

Österreich
<1%

Kanada
<1%

Schweden
<1%

Südkorea
<1%

Gruppenelement-Titel: Paraguay
<1%

Schottland
<1%

Tschechien
<1%

Ägypten
<1%

Iran
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Algerien
<1%

Bosnien-Herzegowina
<1%

DR Kongo
<1%

Australien
<1%

Neuseeland
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Jordanien
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Tunesien
<1%

Usbekistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Irak
<1%

Südafrika
<1%

Gruppenelement-Titel: Kap Verde
<1%

Katar
<1%

Saudi-Arabien
<1%
Spanien 16.1%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich 16.1%
England 10.5%
Portugal 10.2%
$1,846,895,940 Vol.
$1,846,895,940 Vol.

Spanien
16%

Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich
16%

England
11%

Portugal
10%

Argentinien
9%

Brasilien
8%

Deutschland
5%

Niederlande
4%

Norwegen
2%

Belgien
2%

Kolumbien
2%

Japan
2%

Marokko
2%

Mexiko
1%

Schweiz
1%

USA
1%

Türkei
1%

Uruguay
1%

Kroatien
1%

Ecuador
1%

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Senegal
1%

Elfenbeinküste
<1%

Österreich
<1%

Kanada
<1%

Schweden
<1%

Südkorea
<1%

Gruppenelement-Titel: Paraguay
<1%

Schottland
<1%

Tschechien
<1%

Ägypten
<1%

Iran
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Algerien
<1%

Bosnien-Herzegowina
<1%

DR Kongo
<1%

Australien
<1%

Neuseeland
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Jordanien
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Tunesien
<1%

Usbekistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Irak
<1%

Südafrika
<1%

Gruppenelement-Titel: Kap Verde
<1%

Katar
<1%

Saudi-Arabien
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France sit atop the World Cup winner market at identical implied probabilities due to their unmatched recent major-tournament pedigree and squad depth, with Spain fresh off Euro 2024 and Nations League success alongside standout young talent, and France leveraging back-to-back final appearances plus an exceptionally deep roster. England follows closely on the strength of consistent European Championship results and Premier League-caliber depth, while Argentina and Brazil trail slightly despite historical pedigree and defending-champion status. The expanded 48-team format and balanced group-stage matchups amplify the competitiveness, as multiple European sides demonstrate comparable form, injury resilience, and tactical flexibility heading into the June kickoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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