Spain edges France as the narrowest pre-tournament favorite in this expanded 48-team field, with both sides benefiting from deep attacking talent, recent major-tournament pedigree, and strong qualifying campaigns. Trader pricing has tightened further after France’s 2-1 friendly defeat to Ivory Coast and Spain’s consistent results in warm-ups, while England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit within striking distance on the back of squad depth and historical knockout-stage resilience. Multiple high-profile injuries across mid-tier contenders, combined with the distributed strength of European and South American sides, have kept implied probabilities clustered at the top and limited separation among the leading markets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSpanien 17.0%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich 16.1%
England 10.8%
Portugal 10.8%
$1,958,560,634 Vol.
$1,958,560,634 Vol.

Spanien
17%

Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich
16%

England
11%

Portugal
11%

Argentinien
9%

Brasilien
8%

Deutschland
5%

Niederlande
4%

Norwegen
2%

Belgien
2%

Kolumbien
2%

Japan
2%

Marokko
2%

Mexiko
1%

Schweiz
1%

Türkei
1%

USA
1%

Uruguay
1%

Kroatien
1%

Ecuador
1%

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Senegal
1%

Elfenbeinküste
<1%

Österreich
<1%

Kanada
<1%

Schweden
<1%

Südkorea
<1%

Schottland
<1%

Ägypten
<1%

Iran
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Algerien
<1%

Bosnien-Herzegowina
<1%

Gruppenelement-Titel: Paraguay
<1%

DR Kongo
<1%

Tschechien
<1%

Australien
<1%

Neuseeland
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Jordanien
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Tunesien
<1%

Usbekistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Irak
<1%

Südafrika
<1%

Gruppenelement-Titel: Kap Verde
<1%

Katar
<1%

Saudi-Arabien
<1%
Spanien 17.0%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich 16.1%
England 10.8%
Portugal 10.8%
$1,958,560,634 Vol.
$1,958,560,634 Vol.

Spanien
17%

Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich
16%

England
11%

Portugal
11%

Argentinien
9%

Brasilien
8%

Deutschland
5%

Niederlande
4%

Norwegen
2%

Belgien
2%

Kolumbien
2%

Japan
2%

Marokko
2%

Mexiko
1%

Schweiz
1%

Türkei
1%

USA
1%

Uruguay
1%

Kroatien
1%

Ecuador
1%

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Senegal
1%

Elfenbeinküste
<1%

Österreich
<1%

Kanada
<1%

Schweden
<1%

Südkorea
<1%

Schottland
<1%

Ägypten
<1%

Iran
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Algerien
<1%

Bosnien-Herzegowina
<1%

Gruppenelement-Titel: Paraguay
<1%

DR Kongo
<1%

Tschechien
<1%

Australien
<1%

Neuseeland
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Jordanien
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Tunesien
<1%

Usbekistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Irak
<1%

Südafrika
<1%

Gruppenelement-Titel: Kap Verde
<1%

Katar
<1%

Saudi-Arabien
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain edges France as the narrowest pre-tournament favorite in this expanded 48-team field, with both sides benefiting from deep attacking talent, recent major-tournament pedigree, and strong qualifying campaigns. Trader pricing has tightened further after France’s 2-1 friendly defeat to Ivory Coast and Spain’s consistent results in warm-ups, while England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit within striking distance on the back of squad depth and historical knockout-stage resilience. Multiple high-profile injuries across mid-tier contenders, combined with the distributed strength of European and South American sides, have kept implied probabilities clustered at the top and limited separation among the leading markets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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