Spain edges France as the narrowest pre-tournament favorite in this expanded 48-team field, with both sides benefiting from deep attacking talent, recent major-tournament pedigree, and strong qualifying campaigns. Trader pricing has tightened further after France’s 2-1 friendly defeat to Ivory Coast and Spain’s consistent results in warm-ups, while England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit within striking distance on the back of squad depth and historical knockout-stage resilience. Multiple high-profile injuries across mid-tier contenders, combined with the distributed strength of European and South American sides, have kept implied probabilities clustered at the top and limited separation among the leading markets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSpanien 17.0%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich 16.1%
England 10.8%
Portugal 10.8%
$1,958,560,634 Vol.
$1,958,560,634 Vol.
20. Juli 2026
Spanien
17%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich
16%
England
11%
Portugal
11%
Argentinien
9%
Brasilien
8%
Deutschland
5%
Niederlande
4%
Norwegen
2%
Belgien
2%
Kolumbien
2%
Japan
2%
Marokko
2%
Mexiko
1%
Schweiz
1%
Türkei
1%
USA
1%
Uruguay
1%
Kroatien
1%
Ecuador
1%
Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Senegal
1%
Elfenbeinküste
<1%
Österreich
<1%
Kanada
<1%
Schweden
<1%
Südkorea
<1%
Schottland
<1%
Ägypten
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algerien
<1%
Bosnien-Herzegowina
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Paraguay
<1%
DR Kongo
<1%
Tschechien
<1%
Australien
<1%
Neuseeland
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordanien
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Gruppeneintragstitel: Tunesien
<1%
Usbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Südafrika
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Kap Verde
<1%
Katar
<1%
Saudi-Arabien
<1%
Spanien 17.0%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich 16.1%
England 10.8%
Portugal 10.8%
$1,958,560,634 Vol.
$1,958,560,634 Vol.
20. Juli 2026
Spanien
$37,478,165 Vol.
17%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich
$44,026,600 Vol.
16%
England
$32,458,064 Vol.
11%
Portugal
$39,384,475 Vol.
11%
Argentinien
$34,851,656 Vol.
9%
Brasilien
$34,011,733 Vol.
8%
Deutschland
$36,206,197 Vol.
5%
Niederlande
$38,479,457 Vol.
4%
Norwegen
$37,310,037 Vol.
2%
Belgien
$40,222,266 Vol.
2%
Kolumbien
$40,365,689 Vol.
2%
Japan
$40,769,447 Vol.
2%
Marokko
$44,041,553 Vol.
2%
Mexiko
$44,176,628 Vol.
1%
Schweiz
$39,033,323 Vol.
1%
Türkei
$36,811,969 Vol.
1%
USA
$56,510,808 Vol.
1%
Uruguay
$39,496,454 Vol.
1%
Kroatien
$45,151,644 Vol.
1%
Ecuador
$45,020,729 Vol.
1%
Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Senegal
$38,982,729 Vol.
1%
Elfenbeinküste
$52,621,194 Vol.
<1%
Österreich
$43,195,768 Vol.
<1%
Kanada
$44,095,264 Vol.
<1%
Schweden
$29,878,257 Vol.
<1%
Südkorea
$48,390,488 Vol.
<1%
Schottland
$42,307,383 Vol.
<1%
Ägypten
$51,316,429 Vol.
<1%
Iran
$44,626,368 Vol.
<1%
Ghana
$36,992,928 Vol.
<1%
Algerien
$44,759,946 Vol.
<1%
Bosnien-Herzegowina
$27,981,752 Vol.
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Paraguay
$42,086,756 Vol.
<1%
DR Kongo
$57,809,793 Vol.
<1%
Tschechien
$31,095,346 Vol.
<1%
Australien
$46,197,935 Vol.
<1%
Neuseeland
$45,486,877 Vol.
<1%
Haiti
$32,043,278 Vol.
<1%
Jordanien
$31,615,970 Vol.
<1%
Curaçao
$41,680,839 Vol.
<1%
Gruppeneintragstitel: Tunesien
$35,517,463 Vol.
<1%
Usbekistan
$59,663,014 Vol.
<1%
Panama
$19,385,468 Vol.
<1%
Irak
$28,870,732 Vol.
<1%
Südafrika
$38,252,430 Vol.
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Kap Verde
$40,218,190 Vol.
<1%
Katar
$42,006,699 Vol.
<1%
Saudi-Arabien
$47,650,068 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain edges France as the narrowest pre-tournament favorite in this expanded 48-team field, with both sides benefiting from deep attacking talent, recent major-tournament pedigree, and strong qualifying campaigns. Trader pricing has tightened further after France’s 2-1 friendly defeat to Ivory Coast and Spain’s consistent results in warm-ups, while England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit within striking distance on the back of squad depth and historical knockout-stage resilience. Multiple high-profile injuries across mid-tier contenders, combined with the distributed strength of European and South American sides, have kept implied probabilities clustered at the top and limited separation among the leading markets.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Volumen
$1,958,560,634Enddatum
20. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain edges France as the narrowest pre-tournament favorite in this expanded 48-team field, with both sides benefiting from deep attacking talent, recent major-tournament pedigree, and strong qualifying campaigns. Trader pricing has tightened further after France’s 2-1 friendly defeat to Ivory Coast and Spain’s consistent results in warm-ups, while England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit within striking distance on the back of squad depth and historical knockout-stage resilience. Multiple high-profile injuries across mid-tier contenders, combined with the distributed strength of European and South American sides, have kept implied probabilities clustered at the top and limited separation among the leading markets.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,958,560,634Enddatum
20. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Spain edges France as the narrowest pre-tournament favorite in this expanded 48-team field, with both sides benefiting from deep attacking talent, recent major-tournament pedigree, and strong qualifying campaigns. Trader pricing has tightened further after France’s 2-1 friendly defeat to Ivory Coast and Spain’s consistent results in warm-ups, while England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit within striking distance on the back of squad depth and historical knockout-stage resilience. Multiple high-profile injuries across mid-tier contenders, combined with the distributed strength of European and South American sides, have kept implied probabilities clustered at the top and limited separation among the leading markets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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