Zohran Mamdani, New York City’s mayor since January 2026 and a naturalized U.S. citizen since 2018, faces no active denaturalization proceedings despite 2025 calls from Republican lawmakers citing past statements and rap lyrics. Trader consensus at 99.7% for “No” before 2027 stems from the strict legal standard requiring clear and convincing evidence of willful material misrepresentation during the naturalization application, a threshold met only in rare cases typically involving documented fraud or terrorism ties. The Department of Justice has pursued other denaturalization actions in 2026, yet none target Mamdani, and immigration experts note the absence of supporting evidence or filed complaints. Realistic shifts could occur only through newly surfaced proof of application fraud leading to a successful federal court case by year-end, an outcome with minimal precedent under current statutes.