Mounting injury concerns for star attackers Kylian Mbappé (hamstring, France) and Lamine Yamal (torn hamstring, Spain)—both sidelined into May—have tempered trader enthusiasm for the top two, fostering a tightly bunched consensus where France edges Spain at under 18% implied probability amid squad depth advantages and recent Nations League success. Spain's Euro 2024 triumph and control-oriented style keep them close despite fitness risks, while England benefits from a navigable group path but faces brutal potential knockout clashes with Brazil or Argentina. Defending champions Argentina and Brazil lag slightly due to aging cores and losses like Rodrygo's ACL tear, highlighting the expanded 48-team field's parity post-March qualifiers and group draw, with no dominant favorite emerging.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFrancia 17.9%
España 16.4%
Inglaterra 11.5%
Brasil 9.2%
$971,057,691 Vol.
$971,057,691 Vol.
Francia
18%
España
16%
Inglaterra
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Portugal
8%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
USA
2%
Marruecos
2%
Suiza
1%
Uruguay
1%
México
1%
Croacia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turquía
1%
Austria
1%
Suecia
1%
Canadá
<1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Irán
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Francia 17.9%
España 16.4%
Inglaterra 11.5%
Brasil 9.2%
$971,057,691 Vol.
$971,057,691 Vol.
Francia
18%
España
16%
Inglaterra
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Portugal
8%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
USA
2%
Marruecos
2%
Suiza
1%
Uruguay
1%
México
1%
Croacia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turquía
1%
Austria
1%
Suecia
1%
Canadá
<1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Irán
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mounting injury concerns for star attackers Kylian Mbappé (hamstring, France) and Lamine Yamal (torn hamstring, Spain)—both sidelined into May—have tempered trader enthusiasm for the top two, fostering a tightly bunched consensus where France edges Spain at under 18% implied probability amid squad depth advantages and recent Nations League success. Spain's Euro 2024 triumph and control-oriented style keep them close despite fitness risks, while England benefits from a navigable group path but faces brutal potential knockout clashes with Brazil or Argentina. Defending champions Argentina and Brazil lag slightly due to aging cores and losses like Rodrygo's ACL tear, highlighting the expanded 48-team field's parity post-March qualifiers and group draw, with no dominant favorite emerging.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes