The tight clustering of implied probabilities among leading contenders for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner stems from the exceptional depth across multiple elite squads just weeks from kickoff. Spain’s recent European Championship success and extended unbeaten run underpin its position alongside France, whose attacking talent and defensive organization remain intact despite select absences. England, Brazil, and Argentina follow closely, each buoyed by proven tournament experience, strong recent qualifying and friendlies, and balanced rosters capable of deep runs. Germany, Portugal, and the Netherlands add further pressure through tactical discipline and emerging depth, while minor injury concerns across the field have not materially shifted the competitive landscape among the top tier.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFrancia 17.3%
España 16.6%
Inglaterra 11.3%
Brasil 9.2%
$997,520,400 Vol.
$997,520,400 Vol.
Francia
17%
España
17%
Inglaterra
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Portugal
8%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
USA
2%
Marruecos
2%
Suiza
1%
Uruguay
1%
México
1%
Croacia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turquía
1%
Austria
1%
Suecia
1%
Canadá
<1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Irán
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Francia 17.3%
España 16.6%
Inglaterra 11.3%
Brasil 9.2%
$997,520,400 Vol.
$997,520,400 Vol.
Francia
17%
España
17%
Inglaterra
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Portugal
8%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
USA
2%
Marruecos
2%
Suiza
1%
Uruguay
1%
México
1%
Croacia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turquía
1%
Austria
1%
Suecia
1%
Canadá
<1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Irán
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight clustering of implied probabilities among leading contenders for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner stems from the exceptional depth across multiple elite squads just weeks from kickoff. Spain’s recent European Championship success and extended unbeaten run underpin its position alongside France, whose attacking talent and defensive organization remain intact despite select absences. England, Brazil, and Argentina follow closely, each buoyed by proven tournament experience, strong recent qualifying and friendlies, and balanced rosters capable of deep runs. Germany, Portugal, and the Netherlands add further pressure through tactical discipline and emerging depth, while minor injury concerns across the field have not materially shifted the competitive landscape among the top tier.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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