The tight bunching of implied probabilities among the leading contenders for the 2026 FIFA World Cup stems from several European sides entering with elite squad depth and recent international form. Spain sits atop power rankings after an extended unbeaten run and their European Championship triumph, while France has climbed on the back of consistent qualification results and forward firepower. England’s back-to-back major final appearances keep them competitive, and defending champions Argentina retain strong core experience despite the challenges of repeating success. Brazil and Portugal add further balance through attacking talent and recent results, leaving the market reflecting a genuinely open field where group-stage matchups and early knockout momentum could quickly shift consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFrancia 18.3%
España 16.7%
Inglaterra 11.3%
Brasil 9.2%
$1,012,919,767 Vol.
$1,012,919,767 Vol.
Francia
18%
España
17%
Inglaterra
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
8%
Portugal
8%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
USA
2%
Marruecos
2%
Suiza
1%
Uruguay
1%
México
1%
Croacia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turquía
1%
Austria
1%
Suecia
1%
Canadá
<1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Irán
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Francia 18.3%
España 16.7%
Inglaterra 11.3%
Brasil 9.2%
$1,012,919,767 Vol.
$1,012,919,767 Vol.
Francia
18%
España
17%
Inglaterra
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
8%
Portugal
8%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
USA
2%
Marruecos
2%
Suiza
1%
Uruguay
1%
México
1%
Croacia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turquía
1%
Austria
1%
Suecia
1%
Canadá
<1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Irán
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight bunching of implied probabilities among the leading contenders for the 2026 FIFA World Cup stems from several European sides entering with elite squad depth and recent international form. Spain sits atop power rankings after an extended unbeaten run and their European Championship triumph, while France has climbed on the back of consistent qualification results and forward firepower. England’s back-to-back major final appearances keep them competitive, and defending champions Argentina retain strong core experience despite the challenges of repeating success. Brazil and Portugal add further balance through attacking talent and recent results, leaving the market reflecting a genuinely open field where group-stage matchups and early knockout momentum could quickly shift consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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