The tight clustering of probabilities among the frontrunners captures the depth of talent across multiple national squads as the 2026 FIFA World Cup approaches. France holds the narrow edge through its blend of veteran leadership and versatile depth that has sustained strong results in recent UEFA Nations League and qualifying fixtures. Spain trails closely on the back of fluid attacking patterns and a young core that has posted consistent wins in European competition. England sits in the next tier thanks to improved tactical cohesion and reliable club form from key contributors, while Brazil and Argentina remain competitive via individual quality and historical resilience despite ongoing squad transitions. These factors, combined with even matchups in friendlies and minimal injury disruptions so far, keep the field wide open entering the final preparation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFrancia 18.3%
España 16.7%
Inglaterra 11.3%
Brasil 9.2%
$1,014,434,483 Vol.
$1,014,434,483 Vol.

Francia
18%

España
17%

Inglaterra
11%

Brasil
9%

Argentina
8%

Portugal
8%

Alemania
5%

Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%

Noruega
2%

Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
2%

Bélgica
2%

Colombia
2%

USA
2%

Marruecos
2%

Suiza
1%

Uruguay
1%

México
1%

Croacia
1%

Ecuador
1%

Senegal
1%

Turquía
1%

Austria
1%

Suecia
1%

Canadá
<1%

Corea del Sur
<1%

Paraguay
<1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%

Costa de Marfil
<1%

Egipto
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Argelia
<1%

Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%

Chequia
<1%

Australia
<1%

Nueva Zelanda
<1%

Haití
<1%

Jordania
<1%

Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%

Irán
<1%

Túnez
<1%

Uzbekistán
<1%

Panamá
<1%

Irak
<1%

Sudáfrica
<1%

RD del Congo
<1%

Cabo Verde
<1%

Qatar
<1%

Saudi Arabia
<1%
Francia 18.3%
España 16.7%
Inglaterra 11.3%
Brasil 9.2%
$1,014,434,483 Vol.
$1,014,434,483 Vol.

Francia
18%

España
17%

Inglaterra
11%

Brasil
9%

Argentina
8%

Portugal
8%

Alemania
5%

Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%

Noruega
2%

Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
2%

Bélgica
2%

Colombia
2%

USA
2%

Marruecos
2%

Suiza
1%

Uruguay
1%

México
1%

Croacia
1%

Ecuador
1%

Senegal
1%

Turquía
1%

Austria
1%

Suecia
1%

Canadá
<1%

Corea del Sur
<1%

Paraguay
<1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%

Costa de Marfil
<1%

Egipto
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Argelia
<1%

Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%

Chequia
<1%

Australia
<1%

Nueva Zelanda
<1%

Haití
<1%

Jordania
<1%

Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%

Irán
<1%

Túnez
<1%

Uzbekistán
<1%

Panamá
<1%

Irak
<1%

Sudáfrica
<1%

RD del Congo
<1%

Cabo Verde
<1%

Qatar
<1%

Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight clustering of probabilities among the frontrunners captures the depth of talent across multiple national squads as the 2026 FIFA World Cup approaches. France holds the narrow edge through its blend of veteran leadership and versatile depth that has sustained strong results in recent UEFA Nations League and qualifying fixtures. Spain trails closely on the back of fluid attacking patterns and a young core that has posted consistent wins in European competition. England sits in the next tier thanks to improved tactical cohesion and reliable club form from key contributors, while Brazil and Argentina remain competitive via individual quality and historical resilience despite ongoing squad transitions. These factors, combined with even matchups in friendlies and minimal injury disruptions so far, keep the field wide open entering the final preparation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes