France holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 17.9% implied probability for the 2026 FIFA World Cup title, but Spain lurks at 16.4% buoyed by ESPN power rankings naming them No. 1 just 30 days out, aligning with razor-thin FIFA standings where the top three—France, Spain, Argentina—separate by mere points after dominant qualifier campaigns. England's recent Nations League victory over then-leaders Spain has narrowed gaps, injecting momentum into their bid alongside Brazil and Portugal, while widespread injury doubts temper favorites: Mbappé nursing a thigh strain, Yamal recovering from hamstring issues, Rodrygo sidelined for Brazil, and similar blows across squads. The expanded 48-team group stage and knockout paths amplify uncertainty, fostering a fiercely competitive market devoid of clear standouts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFrancia 17.9%
España 16.4%
Inglaterra 11.5%
Brasil 9.2%
$970,955,177 Vol.
$970,955,177 Vol.
Francia
18%
España
16%
Inglaterra
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Portugal
8%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
USA
2%
Marruecos
2%
Suiza
1%
Uruguay
1%
México
1%
Croacia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turquía
1%
Austria
1%
Suecia
1%
Canadá
<1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Irán
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Francia 17.9%
España 16.4%
Inglaterra 11.5%
Brasil 9.2%
$970,955,177 Vol.
$970,955,177 Vol.
Francia
18%
España
16%
Inglaterra
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Portugal
8%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
USA
2%
Marruecos
2%
Suiza
1%
Uruguay
1%
México
1%
Croacia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turquía
1%
Austria
1%
Suecia
1%
Canadá
<1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Irán
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 17.9% implied probability for the 2026 FIFA World Cup title, but Spain lurks at 16.4% buoyed by ESPN power rankings naming them No. 1 just 30 days out, aligning with razor-thin FIFA standings where the top three—France, Spain, Argentina—separate by mere points after dominant qualifier campaigns. England's recent Nations League victory over then-leaders Spain has narrowed gaps, injecting momentum into their bid alongside Brazil and Portugal, while widespread injury doubts temper favorites: Mbappé nursing a thigh strain, Yamal recovering from hamstring issues, Rodrygo sidelined for Brazil, and similar blows across squads. The expanded 48-team group stage and knockout paths amplify uncertainty, fostering a fiercely competitive market devoid of clear standouts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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