France, Spain, and England lead the implied probabilities in this futures market due to their recent European Championship pedigree, deep attacking options, and strong qualifying records ahead of the expanded 48-team tournament. Spain’s possession-based style and youth talent have maintained momentum since their 2024 title win, while France’s squad depth and experience from the 2018 and 2022 cycles keep them narrowly ahead in trader consensus. England’s consistent knockout-stage runs add pressure on the top group, with Brazil and Argentina close behind on historical pedigree and current form. Recent squad announcements and pre-tournament friendlies have reinforced these dynamics without major shifts, leaving the race tight among multiple title contenders with realistic paths through the group stage and knockout rounds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFrancia 18.6%
España 17.0%
Inglaterra 11.5%
Brasil 9.2%
$1,006,600,713 Vol.
$1,006,600,713 Vol.
Francia
19%
España
17%
Inglaterra
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Portugal
8%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
USA
2%
Marruecos
2%
Suiza
1%
Uruguay
1%
México
1%
Croacia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turquía
1%
Austria
1%
Suecia
1%
Canadá
<1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Irán
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Francia 18.6%
España 17.0%
Inglaterra 11.5%
Brasil 9.2%
$1,006,600,713 Vol.
$1,006,600,713 Vol.
Francia
19%
España
17%
Inglaterra
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Portugal
8%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
USA
2%
Marruecos
2%
Suiza
1%
Uruguay
1%
México
1%
Croacia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turquía
1%
Austria
1%
Suecia
1%
Canadá
<1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Irán
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France, Spain, and England lead the implied probabilities in this futures market due to their recent European Championship pedigree, deep attacking options, and strong qualifying records ahead of the expanded 48-team tournament. Spain’s possession-based style and youth talent have maintained momentum since their 2024 title win, while France’s squad depth and experience from the 2018 and 2022 cycles keep them narrowly ahead in trader consensus. England’s consistent knockout-stage runs add pressure on the top group, with Brazil and Argentina close behind on historical pedigree and current form. Recent squad announcements and pre-tournament friendlies have reinforced these dynamics without major shifts, leaving the race tight among multiple title contenders with realistic paths through the group stage and knockout rounds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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