Trader consensus favors 130 million-plus House votes at 26% and 125-130 million at 25.5%, reflecting expectations of elevated midterm turnout surpassing 2022's 108 million amid President Trump's second-term polarization and competitive generic ballot polls showing Democrats with narrow leads. Record early voting in North Carolina's March primary and Democratic overperformance in April special elections signal robust mobilization across key voting blocs, echoing 2018's 119 million peak despite fewer competitive districts from gerrymandering. Tight odds stem from uncertainty in base turnout rates versus enthusiasm drivers like economic conditions; upcoming primaries, summer polling averages, and registration surges could widen gaps toward higher brackets if national engagement intensifies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2026 Parciales: participación en la casa
2026 Parciales: participación en la casa
125-130 millones 33%
130 millones o más 30%
115-120 millones 15%
120-125 millones 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
<85 millones
<1%
85-90 millones
<1%
90-95 millones
1%
95-100 millones
2%
100-105 millones
1%
105-110 millones
4%
110-115 millones
11%
115-120 millones
15%
120-125 millones
19%
125-130 millones
33%
130 millones o más
30%
125-130 millones 33%
130 millones o más 30%
115-120 millones 15%
120-125 millones 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
<85 millones
$324 Vol.
<1%
85-90 millones
$419 Vol.
<1%
90-95 millones
$1,552 Vol.
1%
95-100 millones
$269 Vol.
2%
100-105 millones
$791 Vol.
1%
105-110 millones
$436 Vol.
4%
110-115 millones
$526 Vol.
11%
115-120 millones
$1,025 Vol.
15%
120-125 millones
$408 Vol.
19%
125-130 millones
$1,199 Vol.
33%
130 millones o más
$294 Vol.
30%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus favors 130 million-plus House votes at 26% and 125-130 million at 25.5%, reflecting expectations of elevated midterm turnout surpassing 2022's 108 million amid President Trump's second-term polarization and competitive generic ballot polls showing Democrats with narrow leads. Record early voting in North Carolina's March primary and Democratic overperformance in April special elections signal robust mobilization across key voting blocs, echoing 2018's 119 million peak despite fewer competitive districts from gerrymandering. Tight odds stem from uncertainty in base turnout rates versus enthusiasm drivers like economic conditions; upcoming primaries, summer polling averages, and registration surges could widen gaps toward higher brackets if national engagement intensifies.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volumen
$7,242Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus favors 130 million-plus House votes at 26% and 125-130 million at 25.5%, reflecting expectations of elevated midterm turnout surpassing 2022's 108 million amid President Trump's second-term polarization and competitive generic ballot polls showing Democrats with narrow leads. Record early voting in North Carolina's March primary and Democratic overperformance in April special elections signal robust mobilization across key voting blocs, echoing 2018's 119 million peak despite fewer competitive districts from gerrymandering. Tight odds stem from uncertainty in base turnout rates versus enthusiasm drivers like economic conditions; upcoming primaries, summer polling averages, and registration surges could widen gaps toward higher brackets if national engagement intensifies.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volumen
$7,242Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 130 million-plus House votes at 26% and 125-130 million at 25.5%, reflecting expectations of elevated midterm turnout surpassing 2022's 108 million amid President Trump's second-term polarization and competitive generic ballot polls showing Democrats with narrow leads. Record early voting in North Carolina's March primary and Democratic overperformance in April special elections signal robust mobilization across key voting blocs, echoing 2018's 119 million peak despite fewer competitive districts from gerrymandering. Tight odds stem from uncertainty in base turnout rates versus enthusiasm drivers like economic conditions; upcoming primaries, summer polling averages, and registration surges could widen gaps toward higher brackets if national engagement intensifies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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