Oklahoma City Thunder lead trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability to win the 2026 NBA Championship after dominating the Western Conference playoffs, sweeping Phoenix Suns in the first round and eliminating Los Angeles Lakers in the conference semifinals behind Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's playoff-leading scoring and Chet Holmgren's rim protection as reigning champions. San Antonio Spurs sit at 21.9% following Victor Wembanyama's playoff career-high performances, including a 126-97 Game 5 rout of Minnesota Timberwolves on May 12 to take a 3-2 semifinals lead and position for a potential Western Conference Finals clash with OKC. New York Knicks hold 14.0% with a sweep of Philadelphia 76ers and advancement to Eastern Conference Finals, fueled by Miles McBride's 25-point explosion amid OG Anunoby's injury absence, while Detroit Pistons (3.8%) and Cleveland Cavaliers (2.4%) remain locked in a tied 2-2 Eastern semifinals series featuring Cade Cunningham's scoring prowess.