Manchester City leads the early 2026-27 Premier League table with a perfect five-win record and strong goal difference behind Erling Haaland’s scoring, positioning them as the consensus favorite for runner-up at 35% amid their title challenge. Arsenal, the defending champions, sit second after four wins from five despite one defeat, supporting their 21.5% probability through consistent squad depth and recent form. Chelsea’s 16.5% reflects squad investment and early promise offset by mixed results and defensive vulnerabilities after five matches. Liverpool and Manchester United trail with draws-heavy records and lower implied probabilities, while mid-table sides like Brentford show competitive starts but face tougher long-term tests in a 38-game campaign. Trader consensus factors in historical title-race patterns and current standings momentum.