Recent polling from late August shows Senator Alan Rick (Republicanos) leading the first-round intentions at 33% against incumbent Governor Mailza Assis (PP) at 24%, with Tião Bocalom (PSDB) at 15% and high undecided shares near 17-57% depending on the survey format. Mailza assumed the governorship in April 2026 after Gladson Cameli resigned to run for Senate, anchoring her support in incumbency and reported approval ratings around 67%, while Rick benefits from established name recognition and a broad coalition formed during July conventions. The six-candidate field, substantial voter volatility ahead of the October 4 first round, and second-round simulations that keep the top two closely matched sustain tight trader pricing between the leaders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAlan Rick 54%
Mailza Assis 47%
Tião Bocalom <1%
Dr. Luisinho <1%
$27,816 Vol.
$27,816 Vol.

Alan Rick
54%

Mailza Assis
47%

Tião Bocalom
<1%

Dr. Luisinho
<1%

Eudo Raffael
<1%

Thor Dantas
<1%
Alan Rick 54%
Mailza Assis 47%
Tião Bocalom <1%
Dr. Luisinho <1%
$27,816 Vol.
$27,816 Vol.

Alan Rick
54%

Mailza Assis
47%

Tião Bocalom
<1%

Dr. Luisinho
<1%

Eudo Raffael
<1%

Thor Dantas
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August shows Senator Alan Rick (Republicanos) leading the first-round intentions at 33% against incumbent Governor Mailza Assis (PP) at 24%, with Tião Bocalom (PSDB) at 15% and high undecided shares near 17-57% depending on the survey format. Mailza assumed the governorship in April 2026 after Gladson Cameli resigned to run for Senate, anchoring her support in incumbency and reported approval ratings around 67%, while Rick benefits from established name recognition and a broad coalition formed during July conventions. The six-candidate field, substantial voter volatility ahead of the October 4 first round, and second-round simulations that keep the top two closely matched sustain tight trader pricing between the leaders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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