Ahmed Galadima secured the APC governorship nomination after winning the May 2026 primary with over 414,000 votes amid multiple withdrawals and endorsements that consolidated party support. Traders assign him the highest probability as the APC ticket benefits from federal alignment, organizational strength, and recent local government gains by allied structures. Omar Suleiman of the ADC and Maurice Vunobolki of the PDP trail at lower levels following their respective primaries, with the ADC facing reported internal substitution disputes and leadership tensions that complicate its positioning. Other listed aspirants remain at or below 50 percent amid limited visibility in major-party contests. The 2027 general election timeline leaves room for further shifts in alliances or turnout dynamics before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAhmed Galadima 65%
Omar Suleiman 44%
Christopher Nathaniel 42%
Wafarinyi Theman Dalatu 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 feb 2027
Ahmed Galadima
65%
Omar Suleiman
44%
Christopher Nathaniel
42%
Wafarinyi Theman Dalatu
27%
Maurice Vunobolki
25%
Ahmed Galadima 65%
Omar Suleiman 44%
Christopher Nathaniel 42%
Wafarinyi Theman Dalatu 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 feb 2027
Ahmed Galadima
$0 Vol.
65%
Omar Suleiman
$0 Vol.
44%
Christopher Nathaniel
$0 Vol.
42%
Wafarinyi Theman Dalatu
$0 Vol.
27%
Maurice Vunobolki
$0 Vol.
25%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Adamawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Ahmed Galadima secured the APC governorship nomination after winning the May 2026 primary with over 414,000 votes amid multiple withdrawals and endorsements that consolidated party support. Traders assign him the highest probability as the APC ticket benefits from federal alignment, organizational strength, and recent local government gains by allied structures. Omar Suleiman of the ADC and Maurice Vunobolki of the PDP trail at lower levels following their respective primaries, with the ADC facing reported internal substitution disputes and leadership tensions that complicate its positioning. Other listed aspirants remain at or below 50 percent amid limited visibility in major-party contests. The 2027 general election timeline leaves room for further shifts in alliances or turnout dynamics before resolution.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Adamawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
6 feb 2027Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Adamawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Ahmed Galadima secured the APC governorship nomination after winning the May 2026 primary with over 414,000 votes amid multiple withdrawals and endorsements that consolidated party support. Traders assign him the highest probability as the APC ticket benefits from federal alignment, organizational strength, and recent local government gains by allied structures. Omar Suleiman of the ADC and Maurice Vunobolki of the PDP trail at lower levels following their respective primaries, with the ADC facing reported internal substitution disputes and leadership tensions that complicate its positioning. Other listed aspirants remain at or below 50 percent amid limited visibility in major-party contests. The 2027 general election timeline leaves room for further shifts in alliances or turnout dynamics before resolution.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Adamawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
6 feb 2027Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ahmed Galadima secured the APC governorship nomination after winning the May 2026 primary with over 414,000 votes amid multiple withdrawals and endorsements that consolidated party support. Traders assign him the highest probability as the APC ticket benefits from federal alignment, organizational strength, and recent local government gains by allied structures. Omar Suleiman of the ADC and Maurice Vunobolki of the PDP trail at lower levels following their respective primaries, with the ADC facing reported internal substitution disputes and leadership tensions that complicate its positioning. Other listed aspirants remain at or below 50 percent amid limited visibility in major-party contests. The 2027 general election timeline leaves room for further shifts in alliances or turnout dynamics before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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