The 2028 Democratic presidential field remains wide open two years before primaries, with no candidates formally declared and early national polls split among Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. This produces closely matched probabilities across the 55-64, 45-54, and under-45 brackets as traders weigh name recognition and donor networks favoring mid-career governors and former vice presidents against rising demand for generational turnover after recent older nominees. Recent state-level surveys show younger figures gaining in early states like New Hampshire, while prediction markets price AOC and Jon Ossoff higher than most polls, reflecting uncertainty over how primary voters will balance experience against calls for new leadership. Upcoming midterms and any formal announcements could shift these dynamics before the race consolidates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Edad del candidato presidencial demócrata de 2028?
Menos de 45 27%
55-64 27%
45-54 26%
65-74 19.1%
Menos de 45
27%
45-54
26%
55-64
27%
65-74
19%
75-84
7%
85+
7%
Menos de 45 27%
55-64 27%
45-54 26%
65-74 19.1%
Menos de 45
27%
45-54
26%
55-64
27%
65-74
19%
75-84
7%
85+
7%
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2028 Democratic presidential field remains wide open two years before primaries, with no candidates formally declared and early national polls split among Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. This produces closely matched probabilities across the 55-64, 45-54, and under-45 brackets as traders weigh name recognition and donor networks favoring mid-career governors and former vice presidents against rising demand for generational turnover after recent older nominees. Recent state-level surveys show younger figures gaining in early states like New Hampshire, while prediction markets price AOC and Jon Ossoff higher than most polls, reflecting uncertainty over how primary voters will balance experience against calls for new leadership. Upcoming midterms and any formal announcements could shift these dynamics before the race consolidates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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