Recent polls in Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race show Democrat Tom Begich ahead in early preference and ranked-choice voting simulations, reflecting his established name recognition from prior Senate service and strong fundraising among Democrats in a crowded nonpartisan primary field set for August. Traders assign him the highest implied probability as surveys from April indicate he advances comfortably to the general election and prevails in final RCV rounds against leading Republicans. Bernadette Wilson follows as the top Republican contender due to her business background and visibility in candidate forums held in early May, while Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, Treg Taylor, and Click Bishop trail amid fragmented support in the top-four primary system. No major late-breaking shifts have altered positioning in the past week, though the August primary and subsequent general election dynamics under ranked-choice voting remain key variables that could reshape outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTom Begich 39%
Bernadette Wilson 25%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 11.2%
Treg Taylor 10.2%
$972,641 Vol.
$972,641 Vol.

Tom Begich
39%

Bernadette Wilson
25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
11%

Treg Taylor
10%

Click Bishop
6%

Nancy Dahlstrom
6%

David Bronson
5%

Matt Heilala
1%

Adam Crum
1%

Mary Peltola
<1%

Matt Claman
<1%

James Parkin
<1%

Edna DeVries
<1%

Shelley Hughes
<1%

Lisa Murkowski
<1%

Hank Kroll
<1%

Bruce Walden
<1%
Tom Begich 39%
Bernadette Wilson 25%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 11.2%
Treg Taylor 10.2%
$972,641 Vol.
$972,641 Vol.

Tom Begich
39%

Bernadette Wilson
25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
11%

Treg Taylor
10%

Click Bishop
6%

Nancy Dahlstrom
6%

David Bronson
5%

Matt Heilala
1%

Adam Crum
1%

Mary Peltola
<1%

Matt Claman
<1%

James Parkin
<1%

Edna DeVries
<1%

Shelley Hughes
<1%

Lisa Murkowski
<1%

Hank Kroll
<1%

Bruce Walden
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls in Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race show Democrat Tom Begich ahead in early preference and ranked-choice voting simulations, reflecting his established name recognition from prior Senate service and strong fundraising among Democrats in a crowded nonpartisan primary field set for August. Traders assign him the highest implied probability as surveys from April indicate he advances comfortably to the general election and prevails in final RCV rounds against leading Republicans. Bernadette Wilson follows as the top Republican contender due to her business background and visibility in candidate forums held in early May, while Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, Treg Taylor, and Click Bishop trail amid fragmented support in the top-four primary system. No major late-breaking shifts have altered positioning in the past week, though the August primary and subsequent general election dynamics under ranked-choice voting remain key variables that could reshape outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes