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icon for ¿Alaska aprueba la medida de la boleta que deroga la votación por orden de preferencia?
Política·Alaska

¿Alaska aprueba la medida de la boleta que deroga la votación por orden de preferencia?

icon for ¿Alaska aprueba la medida de la boleta que deroga la votación por orden de preferencia?
Política·Alaska

¿Alaska aprueba la medida de la boleta que deroga la votación por orden de preferencia?

Sí

0% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

Sí

0% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).Alaska voters face a closely contested November 3, 2026, decision on Ballot Measure 2 to repeal the top-four nonpartisan primaries and ranked-choice voting system adopted by initiative in 2020, while also altering associated campaign finance disclosure rules. The measure follows a 2024 repeal effort that failed by fewer than 750 votes out of over 320,000 cast, creating a near-even baseline for trader assessments. Recent developments include qualification via verified signatures exceeding requirements, public hearings on ballot language, and heavy outside funding—with repeal supporters drawing contributions from major donors including Elon Musk and the keep-RCV side raising over $5 million. Partisan debates center on voter confusion claims versus preferences for traditional party primaries, alongside transparency concerns tied to the bundled finance provisions, sustaining competitive balance ahead of the general election.

Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).
Volumen
$21
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 4:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).
Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).Alaska voters face a closely contested November 3, 2026, decision on Ballot Measure 2 to repeal the top-four nonpartisan primaries and ranked-choice voting system adopted by initiative in 2020, while also altering associated campaign finance disclosure rules. The measure follows a 2024 repeal effort that failed by fewer than 750 votes out of over 320,000 cast, creating a near-even baseline for trader assessments. Recent developments include qualification via verified signatures exceeding requirements, public hearings on ballot language, and heavy outside funding—with repeal supporters drawing contributions from major donors including Elon Musk and the keep-RCV side raising over $5 million. Partisan debates center on voter confusion claims versus preferences for traditional party primaries, alongside transparency concerns tied to the bundled finance provisions, sustaining competitive balance ahead of the general election.

Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).
Volumen
$21
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 4:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).

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Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Alaska aprueba la medida de la boleta que deroga la votación por orden de preferencia?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Alaska aprueba una medida electoral que deroga la votación por orden de preferencia?" con 52%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 52¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Alaska aprueba la medida de la boleta que deroga la votación por orden de preferencia?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 21, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Alaska aprueba la medida de la boleta que deroga la votación por orden de preferencia?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Alaska aprueba la medida de la boleta que deroga la votación por orden de preferencia?" es "¿Alaska aprueba una medida electoral que deroga la votación por orden de preferencia?" con 52%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Alaska aprueba la medida de la boleta que deroga la votación por orden de preferencia?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.