Incumbent Republican Sen. Tom Cotton's commanding trader consensus at 94.5% stems from Arkansas's status as a solidly Republican state—untouched by a Democratic Senate win since 2008—and his strong primary victory on March 3, capturing 82% against token challengers. Cotton, seeking a third term, faces farmer Hallie Shoffner, who won the Democratic nomination with 78% but lacks statewide name recognition or fundraising to compete in this R+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index seat. A lone February poll showed Cotton leading 58-36, aligning with forecasters rating it Safe Republican. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days. Upsets would require a Cotton scandal, health crisis, or extraordinary national Democratic wave ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Arkansas
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Arkansas
$10,561 Vol.
$10,561 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
95%
Demócrata
3%
$10,561 Vol.
$10,561 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$7,677 Vol.
95%
Demócrata
$2,884 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Tom Cotton's commanding trader consensus at 94.5% stems from Arkansas's status as a solidly Republican state—untouched by a Democratic Senate win since 2008—and his strong primary victory on March 3, capturing 82% against token challengers. Cotton, seeking a third term, faces farmer Hallie Shoffner, who won the Democratic nomination with 78% but lacks statewide name recognition or fundraising to compete in this R+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index seat. A lone February poll showed Cotton leading 58-36, aligning with forecasters rating it Safe Republican. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days. Upsets would require a Cotton scandal, health crisis, or extraordinary national Democratic wave ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$10,561Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Tom Cotton's commanding trader consensus at 94.5% stems from Arkansas's status as a solidly Republican state—untouched by a Democratic Senate win since 2008—and his strong primary victory on March 3, capturing 82% against token challengers. Cotton, seeking a third term, faces farmer Hallie Shoffner, who won the Democratic nomination with 78% but lacks statewide name recognition or fundraising to compete in this R+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index seat. A lone February poll showed Cotton leading 58-36, aligning with forecasters rating it Safe Republican. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days. Upsets would require a Cotton scandal, health crisis, or extraordinary national Democratic wave ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$10,561Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Tom Cotton's commanding trader consensus at 94.5% stems from Arkansas's status as a solidly Republican state—untouched by a Democratic Senate win since 2008—and his strong primary victory on March 3, capturing 82% against token challengers. Cotton, seeking a third term, faces farmer Hallie Shoffner, who won the Democratic nomination with 78% but lacks statewide name recognition or fundraising to compete in this R+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index seat. A lone February poll showed Cotton leading 58-36, aligning with forecasters rating it Safe Republican. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days. Upsets would require a Cotton scandal, health crisis, or extraordinary national Democratic wave ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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