Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar secured his party's nomination in the July 2026 primary for Arizona's 9th congressional district and enters the November general election as a strong favorite. The seat has long been rated solidly Republican by nonpartisan analysts, reflecting consistent voter patterns and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data favoring the Democratic nominee, Danielle Sterbinsky. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects the district's established partisan lean and lack of recent developments that would alter its trajectory. A major scandal, health event involving the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could still narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district based on historical results.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAZ-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
AZ-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$25,051 Vol.
$25,051 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
95%
Partido Demócrata
4%
$25,051 Vol.
$25,051 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$10,146 Vol.
95%
Partido Demócrata
$15,005 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar secured his party's nomination in the July 2026 primary for Arizona's 9th congressional district and enters the November general election as a strong favorite. The seat has long been rated solidly Republican by nonpartisan analysts, reflecting consistent voter patterns and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data favoring the Democratic nominee, Danielle Sterbinsky. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects the district's established partisan lean and lack of recent developments that would alter its trajectory. A major scandal, health event involving the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could still narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district based on historical results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volumen
$25,051Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar secured his party's nomination in the July 2026 primary for Arizona's 9th congressional district and enters the November general election as a strong favorite. The seat has long been rated solidly Republican by nonpartisan analysts, reflecting consistent voter patterns and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data favoring the Democratic nominee, Danielle Sterbinsky. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects the district's established partisan lean and lack of recent developments that would alter its trajectory. A major scandal, health event involving the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could still narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district based on historical results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,051Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar secured his party's nomination in the July 2026 primary for Arizona's 9th congressional district and enters the November general election as a strong favorite. The seat has long been rated solidly Republican by nonpartisan analysts, reflecting consistent voter patterns and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data favoring the Democratic nominee, Danielle Sterbinsky. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects the district's established partisan lean and lack of recent developments that would alter its trajectory. A major scandal, health event involving the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could still narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district based on historical results.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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