Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 58.6% implied probability after a record 73-goal club campaign with Bayern Munich that delivered the Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, and Supercup titles, followed by six World Cup goals that made him England's all-time leading scorer in the tournament. Lamine Yamal sits second at 16.3% on the back of Barcelona's domestic double plus Spain's World Cup triumph, where the 19-year-old posted 26 goals and 21 assists across the season. Rodri, Mbappé, and Kvaratskhelia trail further behind, reflecting limited major silverware or standout individual peaks relative to the top two. Traders appear to weigh Kane's unmatched goal volume and consistent trophy haul more heavily than Yamal's youth and international success, though the margin remains sensitive to any late individual awards or retrospective voting shifts before October.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHarry Kane 58.6%
Lamine Yamal 16.3%
Rodri 8%
Kylian Mbappé 7.3%
$28,402,964 Vol.
$28,402,964 Vol.
Harry Kane
59%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
8%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabián Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsí
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julián Álvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martínez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernández
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Díaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 58.6%
Lamine Yamal 16.3%
Rodri 8%
Kylian Mbappé 7.3%
$28,402,964 Vol.
$28,402,964 Vol.
Harry Kane
59%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
8%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabián Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsí
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julián Álvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martínez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernández
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Díaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 58.6% implied probability after a record 73-goal club campaign with Bayern Munich that delivered the Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, and Supercup titles, followed by six World Cup goals that made him England's all-time leading scorer in the tournament. Lamine Yamal sits second at 16.3% on the back of Barcelona's domestic double plus Spain's World Cup triumph, where the 19-year-old posted 26 goals and 21 assists across the season. Rodri, Mbappé, and Kvaratskhelia trail further behind, reflecting limited major silverware or standout individual peaks relative to the top two. Traders appear to weigh Kane's unmatched goal volume and consistent trophy haul more heavily than Yamal's youth and international success, though the margin remains sensitive to any late individual awards or retrospective voting shifts before October.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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