Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 58.1% implied probability, driven by his record 73-goal season for Bayern Munich and England, which delivered Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal titles plus a third-place World Cup finish with six tournament goals. Traders have priced this exceptional individual output and consistency ahead of collective achievements like Spain’s World Cup triumph. Lamine Yamal sits at 20.5% on the back of strong club form and Spain’s success despite injury setbacks, while Kylian Mbappé, Lionel Messi, and Rodri trail at single digits amid solid but less dominant campaigns. The October 26 ceremony in London will resolve the award based on the 2025-26 period, with recent shortlist announcements and Kane’s comments underscoring the narrow focus on goal tallies versus overall impact.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHarry Kane 57.1%
Lamine Yamal 21.0%
Kylian Mbappé 9.9%
Lionel Messi 5.3%
$37,706,804 Vol.
$37,706,804 Vol.
Harry Kane
57%
Lamine Yamal
21%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Lionel Messi
5%
Rodri
5%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabián Ruiz
1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Luis Díaz
<1%
Lautaro Martínez
<1%
Pau Cubarsí
<1%
Harry Kane 57.1%
Lamine Yamal 21.0%
Kylian Mbappé 9.9%
Lionel Messi 5.3%
$37,706,804 Vol.
$37,706,804 Vol.
Harry Kane
57%
Lamine Yamal
21%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Lionel Messi
5%
Rodri
5%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabián Ruiz
1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Luis Díaz
<1%
Lautaro Martínez
<1%
Pau Cubarsí
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 58.1% implied probability, driven by his record 73-goal season for Bayern Munich and England, which delivered Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal titles plus a third-place World Cup finish with six tournament goals. Traders have priced this exceptional individual output and consistency ahead of collective achievements like Spain’s World Cup triumph. Lamine Yamal sits at 20.5% on the back of strong club form and Spain’s success despite injury setbacks, while Kylian Mbappé, Lionel Messi, and Rodri trail at single digits amid solid but less dominant campaigns. The October 26 ceremony in London will resolve the award based on the 2025-26 period, with recent shortlist announcements and Kane’s comments underscoring the narrow focus on goal tallies versus overall impact.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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