Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at over 60% implied probability following a dominant 2025/26 campaign with Bayern Munich, where he delivered exceptional goal tallies while securing the Bundesliga title and domestic cups, then added six World Cup goals for England. Traders view his sustained individual output and trophy haul as outweighing Spain's World Cup victory, which has elevated Lamine Yamal to second place on the back of his Barcelona form and international contributions. Rodri, Kylian Mbappé, and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia trail due to strong but less decisive club and national team results in the same period, with earlier-season momentum and historical voting patterns reinforcing Kane's position ahead of the October ceremony.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHarry Kane 60.6%
Lamine Yamal 15.4%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 7.8%
$29,110,618 Vol.
$29,110,618 Vol.
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabián Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsí
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julián Álvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martínez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernández
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Díaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 60.6%
Lamine Yamal 15.4%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 7.8%
$29,110,618 Vol.
$29,110,618 Vol.
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabián Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsí
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julián Álvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martínez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernández
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Díaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at over 60% implied probability following a dominant 2025/26 campaign with Bayern Munich, where he delivered exceptional goal tallies while securing the Bundesliga title and domestic cups, then added six World Cup goals for England. Traders view his sustained individual output and trophy haul as outweighing Spain's World Cup victory, which has elevated Lamine Yamal to second place on the back of his Barcelona form and international contributions. Rodri, Kylian Mbappé, and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia trail due to strong but less decisive club and national team results in the same period, with earlier-season momentum and historical voting patterns reinforcing Kane's position ahead of the October ceremony.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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