Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent, and fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary for the CA-12 seat, eliminating the lone Republican entrant. The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent voter registration advantage, makes the November general election outcome between the two Democrats a near-certainty for the party. Trader consensus at 97% for Democrats aligns with this structural reality and the absence of any viable Republican path. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal of the district's fundamentals or a major unforeseen development before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-12 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-12 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$43,796 Vol.
$43,796 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
97%
Partido Republicano
2%
$43,796 Vol.
$43,796 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$26,622 Vol.
97%
Partido Republicano
$17,173 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent, and fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary for the CA-12 seat, eliminating the lone Republican entrant. The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent voter registration advantage, makes the November general election outcome between the two Democrats a near-certainty for the party. Trader consensus at 97% for Democrats aligns with this structural reality and the absence of any viable Republican path. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal of the district's fundamentals or a major unforeseen development before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volumen
$43,796Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent, and fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary for the CA-12 seat, eliminating the lone Republican entrant. The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent voter registration advantage, makes the November general election outcome between the two Democrats a near-certainty for the party. Trader consensus at 97% for Democrats aligns with this structural reality and the absence of any viable Republican path. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal of the district's fundamentals or a major unforeseen development before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$43,796Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent, and fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary for the CA-12 seat, eliminating the lone Republican entrant. The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent voter registration advantage, makes the November general election outcome between the two Democrats a near-certainty for the party. Trader consensus at 97% for Democrats aligns with this structural reality and the absence of any viable Republican path. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal of the district's fundamentals or a major unforeseen development before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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