Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 89.5% implied probability for California's 28th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Judy Chu's strong position in this D+15 Cook PVI district ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Chu dominates fundraising with over $3.6 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Republican April Verlato's minimal resources, mirroring their 2024 matchup where Chu won 65%-35%. Primary challengers include Democrat Peter Roybal, but ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball label the seat Safe or Solid Democratic post-2025 mid-decade redistricting. Absent surprises like scandal or turnout shifts, the general election on November 3 likely repeats historical Democratic dominance in this Los Angeles-area battleground.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-28 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-28 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$89,254 Vol.
$89,254 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
90%
Partido Republicano
11%
$89,254 Vol.
$89,254 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$41,330 Vol.
90%
Partido Republicano
$47,923 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 89.5% implied probability for California's 28th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Judy Chu's strong position in this D+15 Cook PVI district ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Chu dominates fundraising with over $3.6 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Republican April Verlato's minimal resources, mirroring their 2024 matchup where Chu won 65%-35%. Primary challengers include Democrat Peter Roybal, but ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball label the seat Safe or Solid Democratic post-2025 mid-decade redistricting. Absent surprises like scandal or turnout shifts, the general election on November 3 likely repeats historical Democratic dominance in this Los Angeles-area battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$89,254Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 89.5% implied probability for California's 28th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Judy Chu's strong position in this D+15 Cook PVI district ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Chu dominates fundraising with over $3.6 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Republican April Verlato's minimal resources, mirroring their 2024 matchup where Chu won 65%-35%. Primary challengers include Democrat Peter Roybal, but ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball label the seat Safe or Solid Democratic post-2025 mid-decade redistricting. Absent surprises like scandal or turnout shifts, the general election on November 3 likely repeats historical Democratic dominance in this Los Angeles-area battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$89,254Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 89.5% implied probability for California's 28th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Judy Chu's strong position in this D+15 Cook PVI district ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Chu dominates fundraising with over $3.6 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Republican April Verlato's minimal resources, mirroring their 2024 matchup where Chu won 65%-35%. Primary challengers include Democrat Peter Roybal, but ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball label the seat Safe or Solid Democratic post-2025 mid-decade redistricting. Absent surprises like scandal or turnout shifts, the general election on November 3 likely repeats historical Democratic dominance in this Los Angeles-area battleground.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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