The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a D+33 Partisan Voter Index, high Democratic voter registration near 62 percent, and consistent presidential margins exceeding 35 points, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured over 55 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing alongside fellow Democrat Samantha Mota while no Republican reached the November general. California's jungle primary system and the absence of a viable Republican nominee have reinforced the implied probability near 96 percent for the Democratic Party. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal in a seat with entrenched partisan patterns and no scheduled events capable of altering the outcome before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-37 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-37 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
96%
Partido Republicano
3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$2,044 Vol.
96%
Partido Republicano
$1,356 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a D+33 Partisan Voter Index, high Democratic voter registration near 62 percent, and consistent presidential margins exceeding 35 points, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured over 55 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing alongside fellow Democrat Samantha Mota while no Republican reached the November general. California's jungle primary system and the absence of a viable Republican nominee have reinforced the implied probability near 96 percent for the Democratic Party. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal in a seat with entrenched partisan patterns and no scheduled events capable of altering the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$3,400Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a D+33 Partisan Voter Index, high Democratic voter registration near 62 percent, and consistent presidential margins exceeding 35 points, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured over 55 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing alongside fellow Democrat Samantha Mota while no Republican reached the November general. California's jungle primary system and the absence of a viable Republican nominee have reinforced the implied probability near 96 percent for the Democratic Party. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal in a seat with entrenched partisan patterns and no scheduled events capable of altering the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$3,400Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a D+33 Partisan Voter Index, high Democratic voter registration near 62 percent, and consistent presidential margins exceeding 35 points, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured over 55 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing alongside fellow Democrat Samantha Mota while no Republican reached the November general. California's jungle primary system and the absence of a viable Republican nominee have reinforced the implied probability near 96 percent for the Democratic Party. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal in a seat with entrenched partisan patterns and no scheduled events capable of altering the outcome before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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