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Elecciones·Taiwán

Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Changhua

icon for Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Changhua
Elecciones·Taiwán

Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Changhua

Chen Su-yueh 84%

Wei Ping-cheng 10%

Chiu Chien-fu 5%

Hung Jung-chang 3.6%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Chen Su-yueh 84%

Wei Ping-cheng 10%

Chiu Chien-fu 5%

Hung Jung-chang 3.6%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Chen Su-yueh

Chen Su-yueh

$1,747 Vol.

84%

icon for Wei Ping-cheng

Wei Ping-cheng

$465 Vol.

10%

icon for Chiu Chien-fu

Chiu Chien-fu

$461 Vol.

5%

icon for Hung Jung-chang

Hung Jung-chang

$442 Vol.

4%

icon for Lin Shih-hsien

Lin Shih-hsien

$972 Vol.

2%

icon for Huang Hsiu-fang

Huang Hsiu-fang

$358 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Su-yueh holds the strongest position in the Changhua County Magistrate race as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee following her victory in the party primary. This consolidation of DPP support, combined with the party's organizational resources in the county, underpins her elevated implied probability among traders. Fragmentation on the opposition side contributes to the gap, including former DPP mayor Chiu Chien-fu’s decision to run as an independent after losing the nomination contest and the Kuomintang’s ongoing consideration of candidates such as Wei Ping-cheng. Other listed contenders, including Hung Jung-chang and Lin Shih-hsien, register minimal market pricing. The November 28, 2026, election date remains the key resolution trigger, with no major shifts reported in recent weeks that would alter the current consensus distribution.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$4,445
Fecha de finalización
28 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Su-yueh holds the strongest position in the Changhua County Magistrate race as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee following her victory in the party primary. This consolidation of DPP support, combined with the party's organizational resources in the county, underpins her elevated implied probability among traders. Fragmentation on the opposition side contributes to the gap, including former DPP mayor Chiu Chien-fu’s decision to run as an independent after losing the nomination contest and the Kuomintang’s ongoing consideration of candidates such as Wei Ping-cheng. Other listed contenders, including Hung Jung-chang and Lin Shih-hsien, register minimal market pricing. The November 28, 2026, election date remains the key resolution trigger, with no major shifts reported in recent weeks that would alter the current consensus distribution.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$4,445
Fecha de finalización
28 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Changhua" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Chen Su-yueh" con 84%, seguido de "Wei Ping-cheng" con 10%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 84¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 84% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Changhua" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 14, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Changhua", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Changhua" es "Chen Su-yueh" con 84%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 84% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Wei Ping-cheng" con 10%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Changhua" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.