China’s consumer price index rose to 1.2% year-on-year in April 2026, exceeding expectations and lifting the leading 1.1–1.5% band for full-year average inflation. Higher energy and transport costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions, alongside gains in non-food categories, drove the monthly acceleration, while core inflation excluding food and energy advanced to 1.2%. Persistent food-price weakness, particularly in pork and produce, continues to cap headline gains. Market-implied odds reflect expectations that ongoing policy stimulus and a projected 4.4–4.6% GDP expansion will sustain this mild rebound without pushing inflation above 2%, consistent with subdued demand and base effects from 2025’s near-flat reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoInflación anual de China 2026
Inflación anual de China 2026
1,1 – 1,5% 50%
1.6 – 2.0% 42.8%
0,6 – 1,0% 23%
2.0-2.4% 8.4%
$40,817 Vol.
$40,817 Vol.
10 ene 2027
<-1,0%
<1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
<1%
-0,4 – 0,0%
<1%
0.1 – 0.5%
3%
0,6 – 1,0%
23%
1,1 – 1,5%
42%
1.6 – 2.0%
24%
2.0-2.4%
8%
2.5%+
5%
1,1 – 1,5% 50%
1.6 – 2.0% 42.8%
0,6 – 1,0% 23%
2.0-2.4% 8.4%
$40,817 Vol.
$40,817 Vol.
10 ene 2027
<-1,0%
$17,491 Vol.
<1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$2,347 Vol.
<1%
-0,4 – 0,0%
$2,564 Vol.
<1%
0.1 – 0.5%
$2,852 Vol.
3%
0,6 – 1,0%
$2,956 Vol.
23%
1,1 – 1,5%
$3,491 Vol.
42%
1.6 – 2.0%
$3,995 Vol.
24%
2.0-2.4%
$2,580 Vol.
8%
2.5%+
$2,542 Vol.
5%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s consumer price index rose to 1.2% year-on-year in April 2026, exceeding expectations and lifting the leading 1.1–1.5% band for full-year average inflation. Higher energy and transport costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions, alongside gains in non-food categories, drove the monthly acceleration, while core inflation excluding food and energy advanced to 1.2%. Persistent food-price weakness, particularly in pork and produce, continues to cap headline gains. Market-implied odds reflect expectations that ongoing policy stimulus and a projected 4.4–4.6% GDP expansion will sustain this mild rebound without pushing inflation above 2%, consistent with subdued demand and base effects from 2025’s near-flat reading.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Mercado abierto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volumen
$40,817Fecha de finalización
10 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s consumer price index rose to 1.2% year-on-year in April 2026, exceeding expectations and lifting the leading 1.1–1.5% band for full-year average inflation. Higher energy and transport costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions, alongside gains in non-food categories, drove the monthly acceleration, while core inflation excluding food and energy advanced to 1.2%. Persistent food-price weakness, particularly in pork and produce, continues to cap headline gains. Market-implied odds reflect expectations that ongoing policy stimulus and a projected 4.4–4.6% GDP expansion will sustain this mild rebound without pushing inflation above 2%, consistent with subdued demand and base effects from 2025’s near-flat reading.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volumen
$40,817Fecha de finalización
10 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...China’s consumer price index rose to 1.2% year-on-year in April 2026, exceeding expectations and lifting the leading 1.1–1.5% band for full-year average inflation. Higher energy and transport costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions, alongside gains in non-food categories, drove the monthly acceleration, while core inflation excluding food and energy advanced to 1.2%. Persistent food-price weakness, particularly in pork and produce, continues to cap headline gains. Market-implied odds reflect expectations that ongoing policy stimulus and a projected 4.4–4.6% GDP expansion will sustain this mild rebound without pushing inflation above 2%, consistent with subdued demand and base effects from 2025’s near-flat reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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