The primary driver behind the 61.5% market-implied odds favoring "No" on conviction by July 31, 2027, is the slow pace of Tennessee felony proceedings. Dalton Eatherly, the controversial IRL streamer known as Chud the Builder, remains in pre-trial status after the May 2026 courthouse shooting that led to attempted murder and related firearm charges, plus separate misdemeanor counts from a Nashville restaurant incident. Both cases have only recently advanced to grand jury review following his August bond release under house arrest and gag orders, with no trial date set. Complex violent felony cases in the state routinely take 12–18 months or longer to reach verdict, leaving limited runway before the market deadline. Traders are pricing in these procedural realities over the strength of evidence or self-defense arguments, though late plea deals or accelerated dockets could still shift momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado38% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 jul 2027
38% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 jul 2027
Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder, among other charges by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.The primary driver behind the 61.5% market-implied odds favoring "No" on conviction by July 31, 2027, is the slow pace of Tennessee felony proceedings. Dalton Eatherly, the controversial IRL streamer known as Chud the Builder, remains in pre-trial status after the May 2026 courthouse shooting that led to attempted murder and related firearm charges, plus separate misdemeanor counts from a Nashville restaurant incident. Both cases have only recently advanced to grand jury review following his August bond release under house arrest and gag orders, with no trial date set. Complex violent felony cases in the state routinely take 12–18 months or longer to reach verdict, leaving limited runway before the market deadline. Traders are pricing in these procedural realities over the strength of evidence or self-defense arguments, though late plea deals or accelerated dockets could still shift momentum.
Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder, among other charges by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Mercado abierto: May 21, 2026, 10:10 AM ET
Volumen
$1,037Fecha de finalización
1 ago 2027Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 10:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder, among other charges by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.The primary driver behind the 61.5% market-implied odds favoring "No" on conviction by July 31, 2027, is the slow pace of Tennessee felony proceedings. Dalton Eatherly, the controversial IRL streamer known as Chud the Builder, remains in pre-trial status after the May 2026 courthouse shooting that led to attempted murder and related firearm charges, plus separate misdemeanor counts from a Nashville restaurant incident. Both cases have only recently advanced to grand jury review following his August bond release under house arrest and gag orders, with no trial date set. Complex violent felony cases in the state routinely take 12–18 months or longer to reach verdict, leaving limited runway before the market deadline. Traders are pricing in these procedural realities over the strength of evidence or self-defense arguments, though late plea deals or accelerated dockets could still shift momentum.
Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder, among other charges by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$1,037Fecha de finalización
1 ago 2027Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 10:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The primary driver behind the 61.5% market-implied odds favoring "No" on conviction by July 31, 2027, is the slow pace of Tennessee felony proceedings. Dalton Eatherly, the controversial IRL streamer known as Chud the Builder, remains in pre-trial status after the May 2026 courthouse shooting that led to attempted murder and related firearm charges, plus separate misdemeanor counts from a Nashville restaurant incident. Both cases have only recently advanced to grand jury review following his August bond release under house arrest and gag orders, with no trial date set. Complex violent felony cases in the state routinely take 12–18 months or longer to reach verdict, leaving limited runway before the market deadline. Traders are pricing in these procedural realities over the strength of evidence or self-defense arguments, though late plea deals or accelerated dockets could still shift momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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