Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress to reopen the Strait of Hormuz has triggered sharp declines in WTI crude, with July futures trading near $75 per barrel after dropping more than 4% in mid-June amid expectations of restored Middle East supply flows. This follows earlier 2026 spikes above $100 driven by production outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day and record inventory draws. Global demand forecasts have been trimmed, with OPEC set to release its updated World Oil Outlook on June 18, while EIA projections highlight potential oversupply once flows normalize. Traders are pricing limited near-term support from summer demand against easing geopolitical risk premiums, with June 30 settlement sensitive to any final deal timelines or weekly inventory releases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Petróleo crudo (CL) por encima de ___ a finales de junio?
¿Petróleo crudo (CL) por encima de ___ a finales de junio?
$161,831 Vol.
30 jun 2026
$90
<1%
$85
1%
$80
4%
$75
12%
$70
57%
$65
94%
$63
99%
$60
99%
$56
96%
$55
97%
$52
100%
$50
100%
$161,831 Vol.
$90
$34,511 Vol.
<1%
$85
$10,363 Vol.
1%
$80
$7,862 Vol.
4%
$75
$20,633 Vol.
12%
$70
$21,371 Vol.
57%
$65
$1,777 Vol.
94%
$63
$9,765 Vol.
99%
$60
$27,501 Vol.
99%
$56
$6,442 Vol.
96%
$55
$4,089 Vol.
97%
$52
$7,335 Vol.
100%
$50
$10,181 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress to reopen the Strait of Hormuz has triggered sharp declines in WTI crude, with July futures trading near $75 per barrel after dropping more than 4% in mid-June amid expectations of restored Middle East supply flows. This follows earlier 2026 spikes above $100 driven by production outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day and record inventory draws. Global demand forecasts have been trimmed, with OPEC set to release its updated World Oil Outlook on June 18, while EIA projections highlight potential oversupply once flows normalize. Traders are pricing limited near-term support from summer demand against easing geopolitical risk premiums, with June 30 settlement sensitive to any final deal timelines or weekly inventory releases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volumen
$161,831Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress to reopen the Strait of Hormuz has triggered sharp declines in WTI crude, with July futures trading near $75 per barrel after dropping more than 4% in mid-June amid expectations of restored Middle East supply flows. This follows earlier 2026 spikes above $100 driven by production outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day and record inventory draws. Global demand forecasts have been trimmed, with OPEC set to release its updated World Oil Outlook on June 18, while EIA projections highlight potential oversupply once flows normalize. Traders are pricing limited near-term support from summer demand against easing geopolitical risk premiums, with June 30 settlement sensitive to any final deal timelines or weekly inventory releases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volumen
$161,831Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress to reopen the Strait of Hormuz has triggered sharp declines in WTI crude, with July futures trading near $75 per barrel after dropping more than 4% in mid-June amid expectations of restored Middle East supply flows. This follows earlier 2026 spikes above $100 driven by production outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day and record inventory draws. Global demand forecasts have been trimmed, with OPEC set to release its updated World Oil Outlook on June 18, while EIA projections highlight potential oversupply once flows normalize. Traders are pricing limited near-term support from summer demand against easing geopolitical risk premiums, with June 30 settlement sensitive to any final deal timelines or weekly inventory releases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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