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¿Colorado aprueba una medida electoral que restringe el acceso a los deportes escolares transgénero?

icon for ¿Colorado aprueba una medida electoral que restringe el acceso a los deportes escolares transgénero?

¿Colorado aprueba una medida electoral que restringe el acceso a los deportes escolares transgénero?

42% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

42% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
Colorado Initiative 109 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school and college sports based on an individual's biological sex. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Colorado statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Colorado, including the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/). Colorado voters will decide Initiative 109 on the November 2026 ballot after Protect Kids Colorado submitted over 168,000 validated signatures in March, qualifying the measure that would require school and collegiate athletic teams to be designated by biological sex based on reproductive anatomy. In a state with Democratic-leaning voter registration and organized opposition campaigns from LGBTQ+ advocacy groups, traders assign a 59.5% implied probability against passage. Similar measures are advancing in Arizona and Washington, but Colorado’s electoral environment and coalition efforts to defeat the proposal remain the primary factors shaping current market positioning ahead of the general election.

Colorado Initiative 109 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school and college sports based on an individual's biological sex.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Colorado statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Colorado, including the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Colorado Initiative 109 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school and college sports based on an individual's biological sex. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Colorado statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Colorado, including the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/).
Colorado Initiative 109 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school and college sports based on an individual's biological sex. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Colorado statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Colorado, including the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/). Colorado voters will decide Initiative 109 on the November 2026 ballot after Protect Kids Colorado submitted over 168,000 validated signatures in March, qualifying the measure that would require school and collegiate athletic teams to be designated by biological sex based on reproductive anatomy. In a state with Democratic-leaning voter registration and organized opposition campaigns from LGBTQ+ advocacy groups, traders assign a 59.5% implied probability against passage. Similar measures are advancing in Arizona and Washington, but Colorado’s electoral environment and coalition efforts to defeat the proposal remain the primary factors shaping current market positioning ahead of the general election.

Colorado Initiative 109 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school and college sports based on an individual's biological sex.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Colorado statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Colorado, including the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Colorado Initiative 109 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school and college sports based on an individual's biological sex. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Colorado statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Colorado, including the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Colorado aprueba una medida electoral que restringe el acceso a los deportes escolares transgénero?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Colorado aprueba una medida electoral que restringe el acceso de personas transgénero a los deportes escolares?" con 37%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 37¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Colorado aprueba una medida electoral que restringe el acceso a los deportes escolares transgénero?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jul 10, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Colorado aprueba una medida electoral que restringe el acceso a los deportes escolares transgénero?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Colorado aprueba una medida electoral que restringe el acceso a los deportes escolares transgénero?" es "¿Colorado aprueba una medida electoral que restringe el acceso de personas transgénero a los deportes escolares?" con 37%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Colorado aprueba una medida electoral que restringe el acceso a los deportes escolares transgénero?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.