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icon for Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Derwent Valley
Política·Mayoral

Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Derwent Valley

icon for Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Derwent Valley
Política·Mayoral

Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Derwent Valley

Michelle Dracoulis 55%

Casey Farrell 15%

Jess Burns 5%

James Randall 4.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Michelle Dracoulis 55%

Casey Farrell 15%

Jess Burns 5%

James Randall 4.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Michelle Dracoulis

Michelle Dracoulis

$477 Vol.

55%

icon for Casey Farrell

Casey Farrell

$438 Vol.

15%

icon for Jess Burns

Jess Burns

$351 Vol.

5%

icon for James Randall

James Randall

$138 Vol.

4%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Michelle Dracoulis, the incumbent Derwent Valley mayor, leads trader pricing ahead of Tasmania’s October 27 local government elections because recent council actions under her leadership produced a projected budget surplus and secured a new CEO through a national recruitment process. A November 2025 no-confidence motion against her lapsed without broader councillor support. Challenger visibility remains low ahead of the September 21 nomination deadline, leaving most listed candidates with minimal trading activity and implied probabilities clustered near even-money levels. Tasmania’s preferential voting system for mayoral contests allows trader consensus to factor in these governance outcomes while recognizing that late nominations or organized campaigns could still alter the field before election day.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volumen
$1,404
Fecha de finalización
28 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:20 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Michelle Dracoulis, the incumbent Derwent Valley mayor, leads trader pricing ahead of Tasmania’s October 27 local government elections because recent council actions under her leadership produced a projected budget surplus and secured a new CEO through a national recruitment process. A November 2025 no-confidence motion against her lapsed without broader councillor support. Challenger visibility remains low ahead of the September 21 nomination deadline, leaving most listed candidates with minimal trading activity and implied probabilities clustered near even-money levels. Tasmania’s preferential voting system for mayoral contests allows trader consensus to factor in these governance outcomes while recognizing that late nominations or organized campaigns could still alter the field before election day.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volumen
$1,404
Fecha de finalización
28 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:20 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Derwent Valley" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Michelle Dracoulis" con 55%, seguido de "Casey Farrell" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 55¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 55% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Derwent Valley" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 3, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Derwent Valley", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Derwent Valley" es "Michelle Dracoulis" con 55%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 55% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Casey Farrell" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Derwent Valley" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.