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icon for ¿El Departamento de Justicia multa a Nvidia por el acuerdo con Groq en 2026?
Tech·IA

¿El Departamento de Justicia multa a Nvidia por el acuerdo con Groq en 2026?

icon for ¿El Departamento de Justicia multa a Nvidia por el acuerdo con Groq en 2026?
Tech·IA

¿El Departamento de Justicia multa a Nvidia por el acuerdo con Groq en 2026?

Sí

9% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

Sí

9% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) announces a fine or any other civil or criminal monetary penalty imposed on Nvidia Corporation (Nvidia), or agreed to by Nvidia in a settlement, consent decree, deferred prosecution agreement, non-prosecution agreement, or plea agreement, concerning Nvidia's licensing agreement with Groq, Inc. and the related hiring of Groq personnel announced on December 24, 2025, including any amendment, restructuring, or replacement of that arrangement (the Groq agreement), between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying penalty is a payment of any amount that Nvidia, or any parent, subsidiary, or successor of Nvidia, is ordered or agrees to pay to the United States government as a fine, civil penalty, criminal penalty, or disgorgement in connection with the Groq agreement, including any penalty for an alleged failure to file a premerger notification or observe a required waiting period for that agreement. The penalty must be announced by the DOJ, filed in court by the DOJ, or ordered by a court in a case brought by the DOJ; a penalty announced jointly by the DOJ and another federal agency qualifies. A penalty imposed or agreed to in a matter to which the DOJ is not a party will not qualify. A settlement, consent decree, deferred prosecution agreement, non-prosecution agreement, or plea agreement in which Nvidia agrees to pay a qualifying penalty counts as of the date the DOJ announces it or files it in court, regardless of whether a court has approved it by the resolution date. A penalty that resolves allegations concerning the Groq agreement together with allegations concerning other matters qualifies, whether or not any portion of the penalty is attributed to the Groq agreement. A qualifying penalty counts regardless of whether it is later reduced, vacated, or appealed. The following will not qualify on their own: the opening, continuation, or expansion of an investigation; subpoenas, civil investigative demands, requests for information, or second requests for information; the filing of a complaint or lawsuit that seeks a penalty that has not yet been imposed or agreed to; statements about a possible or future penalty; non-monetary relief such as an order to unwind or modify the Groq agreement, divestitures, conduct remedies, or compliance monitoring; penalties imposed only on individuals; penalties imposed only on Groq, Inc. at a time when Groq is not a subsidiary of Nvidia; and penalties that concern only matters other than the Groq agreement. If the DOJ publicly announces that it has closed its investigation into the Groq agreement without imposing or agreeing to a qualifying penalty and without filing a complaint or lawsuit against Nvidia concerning the Groq agreement, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Department of Justice, including press releases and court filings from its Antitrust Division (https://www.justice.gov/atr); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Justice Department's September 2026 probe into Nvidia's roughly $17-20 billion non-exclusive licensing and talent deal with Groq, announced in December 2025, has not produced any findings of wrongdoing or enforcement actions to date. The inquiry focuses on whether the structure—granting access to Groq's AI inference chip technology and hiring key executives without a formal acquisition—intentionally bypassed Hart-Scott-Rodino antitrust review. Sources close to the matter indicate regulators view a fine as possible but far from certain, with no expectation of unwinding the arrangement. This early-stage status, combined with Nvidia's defense that the deal promotes innovation within legal bounds and Groq's continued independent operations, underpins the 92% market-implied odds against a 2026 fine. Potential catalysts include further document demands or congressional pressure, though rapid resolution this year remains unlikely.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) announces a fine or any other civil or criminal monetary penalty imposed on Nvidia Corporation (Nvidia), or agreed to by Nvidia in a settlement, consent decree, deferred prosecution agreement, non-prosecution agreement, or plea agreement, concerning Nvidia's licensing agreement with Groq, Inc. and the related hiring of Groq personnel announced on December 24, 2025, including any amendment, restructuring, or replacement of that arrangement (the Groq agreement), between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying penalty is a payment of any amount that Nvidia, or any parent, subsidiary, or successor of Nvidia, is ordered or agrees to pay to the United States government as a fine, civil penalty, criminal penalty, or disgorgement in connection with the Groq agreement, including any penalty for an alleged failure to file a premerger notification or observe a required waiting period for that agreement. The penalty must be announced by the DOJ, filed in court by the DOJ, or ordered by a court in a case brought by the DOJ; a penalty announced jointly by the DOJ and another federal agency qualifies. A penalty imposed or agreed to in a matter to which the DOJ is not a party will not qualify.

A settlement, consent decree, deferred prosecution agreement, non-prosecution agreement, or plea agreement in which Nvidia agrees to pay a qualifying penalty counts as of the date the DOJ announces it or files it in court, regardless of whether a court has approved it by the resolution date. A penalty that resolves allegations concerning the Groq agreement together with allegations concerning other matters qualifies, whether or not any portion of the penalty is attributed to the Groq agreement. A qualifying penalty counts regardless of whether it is later reduced, vacated, or appealed.

The following will not qualify on their own: the opening, continuation, or expansion of an investigation; subpoenas, civil investigative demands, requests for information, or second requests for information; the filing of a complaint or lawsuit that seeks a penalty that has not yet been imposed or agreed to; statements about a possible or future penalty; non-monetary relief such as an order to unwind or modify the Groq agreement, divestitures, conduct remedies, or compliance monitoring; penalties imposed only on individuals; penalties imposed only on Groq, Inc. at a time when Groq is not a subsidiary of Nvidia; and penalties that concern only matters other than the Groq agreement.

If the DOJ publicly announces that it has closed its investigation into the Groq agreement without imposing or agreeing to a qualifying penalty and without filing a complaint or lawsuit against Nvidia concerning the Groq agreement, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Department of Justice, including press releases and court filings from its Antitrust Division (https://www.justice.gov/atr); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) announces a fine or any other civil or criminal monetary penalty imposed on Nvidia Corporation (Nvidia), or agreed to by Nvidia in a settlement, consent decree, deferred prosecution agreement, non-prosecution agreement, or plea agreement, concerning Nvidia's licensing agreement with Groq, Inc. and the related hiring of Groq personnel announced on December 24, 2025, including any amendment, restructuring, or replacement of that arrangement (the Groq agreement), between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying penalty is a payment of any amount that Nvidia, or any parent, subsidiary, or successor of Nvidia, is ordered or agrees to pay to the United States government as a fine, civil penalty, criminal penalty, or disgorgement in connection with the Groq agreement, including any penalty for an alleged failure to file a premerger notification or observe a required waiting period for that agreement. The penalty must be announced by the DOJ, filed in court by the DOJ, or ordered by a court in a case brought by the DOJ; a penalty announced jointly by the DOJ and another federal agency qualifies. A penalty imposed or agreed to in a matter to which the DOJ is not a party will not qualify. A settlement, consent decree, deferred prosecution agreement, non-prosecution agreement, or plea agreement in which Nvidia agrees to pay a qualifying penalty counts as of the date the DOJ announces it or files it in court, regardless of whether a court has approved it by the resolution date. A penalty that resolves allegations concerning the Groq agreement together with allegations concerning other matters qualifies, whether or not any portion of the penalty is attributed to the Groq agreement. A qualifying penalty counts regardless of whether it is later reduced, vacated, or appealed. The following will not qualify on their own: the opening, continuation, or expansion of an investigation; subpoenas, civil investigative demands, requests for information, or second requests for information; the filing of a complaint or lawsuit that seeks a penalty that has not yet been imposed or agreed to; statements about a possible or future penalty; non-monetary relief such as an order to unwind or modify the Groq agreement, divestitures, conduct remedies, or compliance monitoring; penalties imposed only on individuals; penalties imposed only on Groq, Inc. at a time when Groq is not a subsidiary of Nvidia; and penalties that concern only matters other than the Groq agreement. If the DOJ publicly announces that it has closed its investigation into the Groq agreement without imposing or agreeing to a qualifying penalty and without filing a complaint or lawsuit against Nvidia concerning the Groq agreement, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Department of Justice, including press releases and court filings from its Antitrust Division (https://www.justice.gov/atr); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$95
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 11:29 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.justice.gov/atr

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) announces a fine or any other civil or criminal monetary penalty imposed on Nvidia Corporation (Nvidia), or agreed to by Nvidia in a settlement, consent decree, deferred prosecution agreement, non-prosecution agreement, or plea agreement, concerning Nvidia's licensing agreement with Groq, Inc. and the related hiring of Groq personnel announced on December 24, 2025, including any amendment, restructuring, or replacement of that arrangement (the Groq agreement), between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying penalty is a payment of any amount that Nvidia, or any parent, subsidiary, or successor of Nvidia, is ordered or agrees to pay to the United States government as a fine, civil penalty, criminal penalty, or disgorgement in connection with the Groq agreement, including any penalty for an alleged failure to file a premerger notification or observe a required waiting period for that agreement. The penalty must be announced by the DOJ, filed in court by the DOJ, or ordered by a court in a case brought by the DOJ; a penalty announced jointly by the DOJ and another federal agency qualifies. A penalty imposed or agreed to in a matter to which the DOJ is not a party will not qualify. A settlement, consent decree, deferred prosecution agreement, non-prosecution agreement, or plea agreement in which Nvidia agrees to pay a qualifying penalty counts as of the date the DOJ announces it or files it in court, regardless of whether a court has approved it by the resolution date. A penalty that resolves allegations concerning the Groq agreement together with allegations concerning other matters qualifies, whether or not any portion of the penalty is attributed to the Groq agreement. A qualifying penalty counts regardless of whether it is later reduced, vacated, or appealed. The following will not qualify on their own: the opening, continuation, or expansion of an investigation; subpoenas, civil investigative demands, requests for information, or second requests for information; the filing of a complaint or lawsuit that seeks a penalty that has not yet been imposed or agreed to; statements about a possible or future penalty; non-monetary relief such as an order to unwind or modify the Groq agreement, divestitures, conduct remedies, or compliance monitoring; penalties imposed only on individuals; penalties imposed only on Groq, Inc. at a time when Groq is not a subsidiary of Nvidia; and penalties that concern only matters other than the Groq agreement. If the DOJ publicly announces that it has closed its investigation into the Groq agreement without imposing or agreeing to a qualifying penalty and without filing a complaint or lawsuit against Nvidia concerning the Groq agreement, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Department of Justice, including press releases and court filings from its Antitrust Division (https://www.justice.gov/atr); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Justice Department's September 2026 probe into Nvidia's roughly $17-20 billion non-exclusive licensing and talent deal with Groq, announced in December 2025, has not produced any findings of wrongdoing or enforcement actions to date. The inquiry focuses on whether the structure—granting access to Groq's AI inference chip technology and hiring key executives without a formal acquisition—intentionally bypassed Hart-Scott-Rodino antitrust review. Sources close to the matter indicate regulators view a fine as possible but far from certain, with no expectation of unwinding the arrangement. This early-stage status, combined with Nvidia's defense that the deal promotes innovation within legal bounds and Groq's continued independent operations, underpins the 92% market-implied odds against a 2026 fine. Potential catalysts include further document demands or congressional pressure, though rapid resolution this year remains unlikely.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) announces a fine or any other civil or criminal monetary penalty imposed on Nvidia Corporation (Nvidia), or agreed to by Nvidia in a settlement, consent decree, deferred prosecution agreement, non-prosecution agreement, or plea agreement, concerning Nvidia's licensing agreement with Groq, Inc. and the related hiring of Groq personnel announced on December 24, 2025, including any amendment, restructuring, or replacement of that arrangement (the Groq agreement), between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying penalty is a payment of any amount that Nvidia, or any parent, subsidiary, or successor of Nvidia, is ordered or agrees to pay to the United States government as a fine, civil penalty, criminal penalty, or disgorgement in connection with the Groq agreement, including any penalty for an alleged failure to file a premerger notification or observe a required waiting period for that agreement. The penalty must be announced by the DOJ, filed in court by the DOJ, or ordered by a court in a case brought by the DOJ; a penalty announced jointly by the DOJ and another federal agency qualifies. A penalty imposed or agreed to in a matter to which the DOJ is not a party will not qualify.

A settlement, consent decree, deferred prosecution agreement, non-prosecution agreement, or plea agreement in which Nvidia agrees to pay a qualifying penalty counts as of the date the DOJ announces it or files it in court, regardless of whether a court has approved it by the resolution date. A penalty that resolves allegations concerning the Groq agreement together with allegations concerning other matters qualifies, whether or not any portion of the penalty is attributed to the Groq agreement. A qualifying penalty counts regardless of whether it is later reduced, vacated, or appealed.

The following will not qualify on their own: the opening, continuation, or expansion of an investigation; subpoenas, civil investigative demands, requests for information, or second requests for information; the filing of a complaint or lawsuit that seeks a penalty that has not yet been imposed or agreed to; statements about a possible or future penalty; non-monetary relief such as an order to unwind or modify the Groq agreement, divestitures, conduct remedies, or compliance monitoring; penalties imposed only on individuals; penalties imposed only on Groq, Inc. at a time when Groq is not a subsidiary of Nvidia; and penalties that concern only matters other than the Groq agreement.

If the DOJ publicly announces that it has closed its investigation into the Groq agreement without imposing or agreeing to a qualifying penalty and without filing a complaint or lawsuit against Nvidia concerning the Groq agreement, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Department of Justice, including press releases and court filings from its Antitrust Division (https://www.justice.gov/atr); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) announces a fine or any other civil or criminal monetary penalty imposed on Nvidia Corporation (Nvidia), or agreed to by Nvidia in a settlement, consent decree, deferred prosecution agreement, non-prosecution agreement, or plea agreement, concerning Nvidia's licensing agreement with Groq, Inc. and the related hiring of Groq personnel announced on December 24, 2025, including any amendment, restructuring, or replacement of that arrangement (the Groq agreement), between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying penalty is a payment of any amount that Nvidia, or any parent, subsidiary, or successor of Nvidia, is ordered or agrees to pay to the United States government as a fine, civil penalty, criminal penalty, or disgorgement in connection with the Groq agreement, including any penalty for an alleged failure to file a premerger notification or observe a required waiting period for that agreement. The penalty must be announced by the DOJ, filed in court by the DOJ, or ordered by a court in a case brought by the DOJ; a penalty announced jointly by the DOJ and another federal agency qualifies. A penalty imposed or agreed to in a matter to which the DOJ is not a party will not qualify. A settlement, consent decree, deferred prosecution agreement, non-prosecution agreement, or plea agreement in which Nvidia agrees to pay a qualifying penalty counts as of the date the DOJ announces it or files it in court, regardless of whether a court has approved it by the resolution date. A penalty that resolves allegations concerning the Groq agreement together with allegations concerning other matters qualifies, whether or not any portion of the penalty is attributed to the Groq agreement. A qualifying penalty counts regardless of whether it is later reduced, vacated, or appealed. The following will not qualify on their own: the opening, continuation, or expansion of an investigation; subpoenas, civil investigative demands, requests for information, or second requests for information; the filing of a complaint or lawsuit that seeks a penalty that has not yet been imposed or agreed to; statements about a possible or future penalty; non-monetary relief such as an order to unwind or modify the Groq agreement, divestitures, conduct remedies, or compliance monitoring; penalties imposed only on individuals; penalties imposed only on Groq, Inc. at a time when Groq is not a subsidiary of Nvidia; and penalties that concern only matters other than the Groq agreement. If the DOJ publicly announces that it has closed its investigation into the Groq agreement without imposing or agreeing to a qualifying penalty and without filing a complaint or lawsuit against Nvidia concerning the Groq agreement, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Department of Justice, including press releases and court filings from its Antitrust Division (https://www.justice.gov/atr); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$95
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 11:29 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.justice.gov/atr

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Preguntas frecuentes

"¿El Departamento de Justicia multa a Nvidia por el acuerdo con Groq en 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Multa el Departamento de Justicia a Nvidia por el acuerdo con Groq en 2026?" con 9%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 9¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 9% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿El Departamento de Justicia multa a Nvidia por el acuerdo con Groq en 2026?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 18, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿El Departamento de Justicia multa a Nvidia por el acuerdo con Groq en 2026?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿El Departamento de Justicia multa a Nvidia por el acuerdo con Groq en 2026?" es "¿Multa el Departamento de Justicia a Nvidia por el acuerdo con Groq en 2026?" con solo 9%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿El Departamento de Justicia multa a Nvidia por el acuerdo con Groq en 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.