**High trader confidence in "No" for an Ebola pandemic in 2026 stems primarily from the current Bundibugyo virus outbreak remaining regionally contained in northeastern DRC and limited parts of Uganda since its May declaration as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern.** As of mid-August, confirmed cases exceed 4,500 with roughly 2,100 deaths, concentrated in Ituri and neighboring provinces, while official CDC and WHO assessments rate the risk of spread to the United States or sustained global transmission as low. Ebola’s transmission requires direct contact with infected bodily fluids rather than airborne routes, enabling effective containment through isolation, contact tracing, and border measures when health systems respond promptly. Historical precedent reinforces this: even the largest prior outbreaks stayed geographically limited. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include rapid expansion into major urban hubs, repeated exported cases triggering secondary chains abroad, or response disruptions from regional conflict that allow exponential growth beyond current projections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEbola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
4% probabilidad
$691,779 Vol.
$691,779 Vol.
31 dic 2026
4% probabilidad
$691,779 Vol.
$691,779 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**High trader confidence in "No" for an Ebola pandemic in 2026 stems primarily from the current Bundibugyo virus outbreak remaining regionally contained in northeastern DRC and limited parts of Uganda since its May declaration as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern.** As of mid-August, confirmed cases exceed 4,500 with roughly 2,100 deaths, concentrated in Ituri and neighboring provinces, while official CDC and WHO assessments rate the risk of spread to the United States or sustained global transmission as low. Ebola’s transmission requires direct contact with infected bodily fluids rather than airborne routes, enabling effective containment through isolation, contact tracing, and border measures when health systems respond promptly. Historical precedent reinforces this: even the largest prior outbreaks stayed geographically limited. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include rapid expansion into major urban hubs, repeated exported cases triggering secondary chains abroad, or response disruptions from regional conflict that allow exponential growth beyond current projections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Volumen
$691,779Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**High trader confidence in "No" for an Ebola pandemic in 2026 stems primarily from the current Bundibugyo virus outbreak remaining regionally contained in northeastern DRC and limited parts of Uganda since its May declaration as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern.** As of mid-August, confirmed cases exceed 4,500 with roughly 2,100 deaths, concentrated in Ituri and neighboring provinces, while official CDC and WHO assessments rate the risk of spread to the United States or sustained global transmission as low. Ebola’s transmission requires direct contact with infected bodily fluids rather than airborne routes, enabling effective containment through isolation, contact tracing, and border measures when health systems respond promptly. Historical precedent reinforces this: even the largest prior outbreaks stayed geographically limited. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include rapid expansion into major urban hubs, repeated exported cases triggering secondary chains abroad, or response disruptions from regional conflict that allow exponential growth beyond current projections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$691,779Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**High trader confidence in "No" for an Ebola pandemic in 2026 stems primarily from the current Bundibugyo virus outbreak remaining regionally contained in northeastern DRC and limited parts of Uganda since its May declaration as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern.** As of mid-August, confirmed cases exceed 4,500 with roughly 2,100 deaths, concentrated in Ituri and neighboring provinces, while official CDC and WHO assessments rate the risk of spread to the United States or sustained global transmission as low. Ebola’s transmission requires direct contact with infected bodily fluids rather than airborne routes, enabling effective containment through isolation, contact tracing, and border measures when health systems respond promptly. Historical precedent reinforces this: even the largest prior outbreaks stayed geographically limited. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include rapid expansion into major urban hubs, repeated exported cases triggering secondary chains abroad, or response disruptions from regional conflict that allow exponential growth beyond current projections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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