Jean Smart’s fifth consecutive nomination for *Hacks* anchors the category’s trader consensus at 91.8% implied probability, fueled by the HBO Max series’ record 24 Emmy nods for its final season and her four prior wins in the role. Voters have historically rewarded the star of a departing awards darling, and Smart’s performance as Deborah Vance continues to draw critical acclaim alongside guild and critics’ circle support. The September 14 ceremony leaves little time for late momentum shifts, though an upset could materialize if academy members opt to elevate a breakout like Elle Fanning in *Margo’s Got Money Troubles* or Lisa Kudrow’s return in *The Comeback* to balance recognition across multiple series.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEmmy 2026: Actriz principal destacada en una serie de comedia
Jean Smart – “Hacks” 91.7%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” 4.2%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 3.8%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary” 2.6%
$32,036 Vol.
$32,036 Vol.
Jean Smart – “Hacks”
92%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback”
4%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
4%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary”
3%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear”
2%
Jean Smart – “Hacks” 91.7%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” 4.2%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 3.8%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary” 2.6%
$32,036 Vol.
$32,036 Vol.
Jean Smart – “Hacks”
92%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback”
4%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
4%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary”
3%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear”
2%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jean Smart’s fifth consecutive nomination for *Hacks* anchors the category’s trader consensus at 91.8% implied probability, fueled by the HBO Max series’ record 24 Emmy nods for its final season and her four prior wins in the role. Voters have historically rewarded the star of a departing awards darling, and Smart’s performance as Deborah Vance continues to draw critical acclaim alongside guild and critics’ circle support. The September 14 ceremony leaves little time for late momentum shifts, though an upset could materialize if academy members opt to elevate a breakout like Elle Fanning in *Margo’s Got Money Troubles* or Lisa Kudrow’s return in *The Comeback* to balance recognition across multiple series.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes