Jean Smart’s four prior wins for Deborah Vance on *Hacks*, combined with the series’ record 24 Emmy nominations for its final season, have cemented her as the clear frontrunner at 91% implied probability. Voters have shown strong precedent for honoring established performers in farewell campaigns, and Smart’s performance across five seasons has delivered consistent critical and guild recognition. Lisa Kudrow’s return in *The Comeback* and fresh turns from Elle Fanning, Quinta Brunson, and Ayo Edebiri provide the main competition, yet historical patterns and the final-season narrative make a significant upset unlikely. The September 14 ceremony is the last remaining catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEmmy 2026: Actriz principal destacada en una serie de comedia
Emmy 2026: Actriz principal destacada en una serie de comedia
Jean Smart – “Hacks” 92.5%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” 6.2%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 1.8%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary” 1.8%
$35,607 Vol.
$35,607 Vol.
14 sep 2026
Jean Smart – “Hacks”
92%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback”
6%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
2%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary”
2%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear”
2%
Jean Smart – “Hacks” 92.5%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” 6.2%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 1.8%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary” 1.8%
$35,607 Vol.
$35,607 Vol.
14 sep 2026
Jean Smart – “Hacks”
$24,877 Vol.
92%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback”
$2,785 Vol.
6%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
$2,989 Vol.
2%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary”
$2,552 Vol.
2%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear”
$2,404 Vol.
2%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jean Smart’s four prior wins for Deborah Vance on *Hacks*, combined with the series’ record 24 Emmy nominations for its final season, have cemented her as the clear frontrunner at 91% implied probability. Voters have shown strong precedent for honoring established performers in farewell campaigns, and Smart’s performance across five seasons has delivered consistent critical and guild recognition. Lisa Kudrow’s return in *The Comeback* and fresh turns from Elle Fanning, Quinta Brunson, and Ayo Edebiri provide the main competition, yet historical patterns and the final-season narrative make a significant upset unlikely. The September 14 ceremony is the last remaining catalyst.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$35,607Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jean Smart’s four prior wins for Deborah Vance on *Hacks*, combined with the series’ record 24 Emmy nominations for its final season, have cemented her as the clear frontrunner at 91% implied probability. Voters have shown strong precedent for honoring established performers in farewell campaigns, and Smart’s performance across five seasons has delivered consistent critical and guild recognition. Lisa Kudrow’s return in *The Comeback* and fresh turns from Elle Fanning, Quinta Brunson, and Ayo Edebiri provide the main competition, yet historical patterns and the final-season narrative make a significant upset unlikely. The September 14 ceremony is the last remaining catalyst.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$35,607Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jean Smart’s four prior wins for Deborah Vance on *Hacks*, combined with the series’ record 24 Emmy nominations for its final season, have cemented her as the clear frontrunner at 91% implied probability. Voters have shown strong precedent for honoring established performers in farewell campaigns, and Smart’s performance across five seasons has delivered consistent critical and guild recognition. Lisa Kudrow’s return in *The Comeback* and fresh turns from Elle Fanning, Quinta Brunson, and Ayo Edebiri provide the main competition, yet historical patterns and the final-season narrative make a significant upset unlikely. The September 14 ceremony is the last remaining catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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