Kimi Antonelli leads the Italian Grand Prix pole market at 27% due to his dominant 2026 campaign, including multiple victories and poles for Mercedes, plus strong Monza pace as the home favorite. The wide-open field reflects clustered implied probabilities around 14% for Leclerc, Norris, Hamilton, Piastri, and Russell, driven by recent qualifying form, Mercedes-Ferrari-McLaren power unit advantages on Monza’s high-speed layout, and variable tire strategies. Verstappen sits lower at 11.5% amid Red Bull’s inconsistent single-lap pace, while lower odds for veterans like Bottas and Alonso highlight the competitive depth among midfield contenders. Recent engine allocation discussions for Antonelli add minor uncertainty ahead of qualifying.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKimi Antonelli 27%
Lando Norris 14%
Lewis Hamilton 14%
Oscar Piastri 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
Kimi Antonelli
27%
Lando Norris
14%
Lewis Hamilton
14%
Oscar Piastri
14%
George Russell
14%
Charles Leclerc
14%
Max Verstappen
10%
Liam Lawson
4%
Pierre Gasly
4%
Fernando Alonso
4%
Franco Colapinto
4%
Nico Hulkenberg
4%
Arvid Lindblad
4%
Isack Hadjar
3%
Valtteri Bottas
3%
Oliver Bearman
3%
Lance Stroll
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Alexander Albon
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
1%
Kimi Antonelli 27%
Lando Norris 14%
Lewis Hamilton 14%
Oscar Piastri 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
Kimi Antonelli
$0 Vol.
27%
Lando Norris
$0 Vol.
14%
Lewis Hamilton
$0 Vol.
14%
Oscar Piastri
$0 Vol.
14%
George Russell
$0 Vol.
14%
Charles Leclerc
$0 Vol.
14%
Max Verstappen
$7 Vol.
10%
Liam Lawson
$0 Vol.
4%
Pierre Gasly
$0 Vol.
4%
Fernando Alonso
$0 Vol.
4%
Franco Colapinto
$0 Vol.
4%
Nico Hulkenberg
$0 Vol.
4%
Arvid Lindblad
$0 Vol.
4%
Isack Hadjar
$0 Vol.
3%
Valtteri Bottas
$12 Vol.
3%
Oliver Bearman
$12 Vol.
3%
Lance Stroll
$6 Vol.
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
$7 Vol.
1%
Alexander Albon
$7 Vol.
1%
Esteban Ocon
$7 Vol.
1%
Sergio Perez
$7 Vol.
1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
$7 Vol.
1%
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli leads the Italian Grand Prix pole market at 27% due to his dominant 2026 campaign, including multiple victories and poles for Mercedes, plus strong Monza pace as the home favorite. The wide-open field reflects clustered implied probabilities around 14% for Leclerc, Norris, Hamilton, Piastri, and Russell, driven by recent qualifying form, Mercedes-Ferrari-McLaren power unit advantages on Monza’s high-speed layout, and variable tire strategies. Verstappen sits lower at 11.5% amid Red Bull’s inconsistent single-lap pace, while lower odds for veterans like Bottas and Alonso highlight the competitive depth among midfield contenders. Recent engine allocation discussions for Antonelli add minor uncertainty ahead of qualifying.
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volumen
$72Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli leads the Italian Grand Prix pole market at 27% due to his dominant 2026 campaign, including multiple victories and poles for Mercedes, plus strong Monza pace as the home favorite. The wide-open field reflects clustered implied probabilities around 14% for Leclerc, Norris, Hamilton, Piastri, and Russell, driven by recent qualifying form, Mercedes-Ferrari-McLaren power unit advantages on Monza’s high-speed layout, and variable tire strategies. Verstappen sits lower at 11.5% amid Red Bull’s inconsistent single-lap pace, while lower odds for veterans like Bottas and Alonso highlight the competitive depth among midfield contenders. Recent engine allocation discussions for Antonelli add minor uncertainty ahead of qualifying.
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volumen
$72Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kimi Antonelli leads the Italian Grand Prix pole market at 27% due to his dominant 2026 campaign, including multiple victories and poles for Mercedes, plus strong Monza pace as the home favorite. The wide-open field reflects clustered implied probabilities around 14% for Leclerc, Norris, Hamilton, Piastri, and Russell, driven by recent qualifying form, Mercedes-Ferrari-McLaren power unit advantages on Monza’s high-speed layout, and variable tire strategies. Verstappen sits lower at 11.5% amid Red Bull’s inconsistent single-lap pace, while lower odds for veterans like Bottas and Alonso highlight the competitive depth among midfield contenders. Recent engine allocation discussions for Antonelli add minor uncertainty ahead of qualifying.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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