The open seat in Florida’s 22nd Congressional District, redrawn in 2026 under a map intended to favor Republicans, stands as a toss-up race between Democrat Pia Dandiya and Republican Casey Askar. Dandiya, a former educator and White House Fellow, has drawn strong support from Democratic-aligned PACs and outside groups emphasizing cost-of-living, housing, insurance, and education priorities, while securing robust third-quarter fundraising. Askar, a self-funding businessman and veteran, has leaned on personal resources and tax-cut messaging in the competitive Palm Beach and Collier County areas. Cook Political Report and similar ratings classify the contest as closely contested ahead of the November 3 general election, aligning with current trader consensus that reflects national spending patterns, candidate profiles, and the district’s partisan lean.