Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz maintains a commanding lead in the August 18 Democratic primary, with recent polls showing him ahead of challenger Oliver Larkin by double digits. This primary strength, combined with Moskowitz's established fundraising and name recognition in the newly drawn district, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic general election win on November 3. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+3 and multiple nonpartisan ratings classify it as a toss-up, yet the incumbent's position creates a buffer against Republican challengers emerging from their primary. Upcoming primary results and any shifts in national midterm dynamics could still influence final positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes FL-25
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes FL-25
$21,923 Vol.
$21,923 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
75%
Partido Republicano
24%
$21,923 Vol.
$21,923 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$6,587 Vol.
75%
Partido Republicano
$15,335 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz maintains a commanding lead in the August 18 Democratic primary, with recent polls showing him ahead of challenger Oliver Larkin by double digits. This primary strength, combined with Moskowitz's established fundraising and name recognition in the newly drawn district, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic general election win on November 3. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+3 and multiple nonpartisan ratings classify it as a toss-up, yet the incumbent's position creates a buffer against Republican challengers emerging from their primary. Upcoming primary results and any shifts in national midterm dynamics could still influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volumen
$21,923Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz maintains a commanding lead in the August 18 Democratic primary, with recent polls showing him ahead of challenger Oliver Larkin by double digits. This primary strength, combined with Moskowitz's established fundraising and name recognition in the newly drawn district, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic general election win on November 3. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+3 and multiple nonpartisan ratings classify it as a toss-up, yet the incumbent's position creates a buffer against Republican challengers emerging from their primary. Upcoming primary results and any shifts in national midterm dynamics could still influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$21,923Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz maintains a commanding lead in the August 18 Democratic primary, with recent polls showing him ahead of challenger Oliver Larkin by double digits. This primary strength, combined with Moskowitz's established fundraising and name recognition in the newly drawn district, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic general election win on November 3. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+3 and multiple nonpartisan ratings classify it as a toss-up, yet the incumbent's position creates a buffer against Republican challengers emerging from their primary. Upcoming primary results and any shifts in national midterm dynamics could still influence final positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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