Skip to main content
icon for France United Left Primary Winner
Política·Francés

France United Left Primary Winner

icon for France United Left Primary Winner
Política·Francés

France United Left Primary Winner

Cancelado 53%

Marine Tondelier 29%

François Ruffin 9%

Benjamin Lucas-Lundy 1.0%

Polymarket

$50,996 Vol.

Cancelado 53%

Marine Tondelier 29%

François Ruffin 9%

Benjamin Lucas-Lundy 1.0%

Polymarket

$50,996 Vol.

icon for Cancelado

Cancelado

$8,180 Vol.

53%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$26,473 Vol.

29%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$10,938 Vol.

9%

icon for Benjamin Lucas-Lundy

Benjamin Lucas-Lundy

$67 Vol.

1%

icon for Lydie Massard

Lydie Massard

$1,460 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$3,877 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on the France United Left Primary for the 2027 presidential election tilts heavily toward cancellation at 52.5%, driven by deepening fractures within the Nouveau Front Populaire alliance, highlighted by François Ruffin's May 12 announcement that he will run independently without a primary and Socialist Party infighting over selection methods reported May 9. Marine Tondelier holds second place at 28.5% as the Ecologistes' designated nominee since her December 2025 internal win with 86% support, positioning her as the frontrunner if a vote proceeds in autumn 2026. Ruffin's 8.5% reflects his push for unity via primary amid ex-Insoumis appeal, while lower odds for Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, Clémentine Autain, and Lydie Massard underscore limited broader backing; ongoing coalition negotiations could still tip outcomes before the October 11 resolution.

The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.

This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.

If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$50,996
Fecha de finalización
11 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on the France United Left Primary for the 2027 presidential election tilts heavily toward cancellation at 52.5%, driven by deepening fractures within the Nouveau Front Populaire alliance, highlighted by François Ruffin's May 12 announcement that he will run independently without a primary and Socialist Party infighting over selection methods reported May 9. Marine Tondelier holds second place at 28.5% as the Ecologistes' designated nominee since her December 2025 internal win with 86% support, positioning her as the frontrunner if a vote proceeds in autumn 2026. Ruffin's 8.5% reflects his push for unity via primary amid ex-Insoumis appeal, while lower odds for Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, Clémentine Autain, and Lydie Massard underscore limited broader backing; ongoing coalition negotiations could still tip outcomes before the October 11 resolution.

The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.

This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.

If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$50,996
Fecha de finalización
11 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"France United Left Primary Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Cancelado" con 53%, seguido de "Marine Tondelier" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 53¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "France United Left Primary Winner" ha generado $51K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 5, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "France United Left Primary Winner", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "France United Left Primary Winner" es "Cancelado" con 53%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Marine Tondelier" con 28%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "France United Left Primary Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.