Greenland’s Inatsisartut last held a general election in March 2025, producing a four-party coalition under Premier Jens-Frederik Nielsen that retains a working majority after Siumut’s departure in March 2026. The government has focused on routine legislative business, including a cross-party seabed-mining pause until 2029 and implementation of the September 2026 security agreement with Denmark and the United States. No parliamentary deadlock, no-confidence motion, or coalition rupture has surfaced in recent months. With the next scheduled election in 2029 and roughly two months remaining in 2026, traders assign only a 3.5 % probability that a snap vote will be called before year-end. A sudden loss of majority support or an acute external crisis could still alter that consensus.