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icon for ¿Elecciones anticipadas de Groenlandia convocadas para el 31 de diciembre

¿Elecciones anticipadas de Groenlandia convocadas para el 31 de diciembre

icon for ¿Elecciones anticipadas de Groenlandia convocadas para el 31 de diciembre

¿Elecciones anticipadas de Groenlandia convocadas para el 31 de diciembre

11% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

11% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Greenland’s Inatsisartut last held elections in March 2025, installing a four-party coalition under Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen of the Democrats with a clear mandate for gradual independence talks alongside strengthened ties to Denmark. The current term runs to 2029, and the coalition has maintained parliamentary support while advancing security and investment agreements with Copenhagen and Washington. Recent diplomatic activity, including an expected trilateral defense pact to be signed at the UN General Assembly and expanded EU partnership funding, has reinforced institutional continuity rather than triggering internal divisions. No confidence votes, coalition fractures, or major policy deadlocks have surfaced in 2026 that would prompt the premier to dissolve parliament early. Traders therefore assign only a modest probability to a snap election being called before year-end, viewing the post-2025 arrangement as stable absent unforeseen shocks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term.

An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,162
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Greenland’s Inatsisartut last held elections in March 2025, installing a four-party coalition under Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen of the Democrats with a clear mandate for gradual independence talks alongside strengthened ties to Denmark. The current term runs to 2029, and the coalition has maintained parliamentary support while advancing security and investment agreements with Copenhagen and Washington. Recent diplomatic activity, including an expected trilateral defense pact to be signed at the UN General Assembly and expanded EU partnership funding, has reinforced institutional continuity rather than triggering internal divisions. No confidence votes, coalition fractures, or major policy deadlocks have surfaced in 2026 that would prompt the premier to dissolve parliament early. Traders therefore assign only a modest probability to a snap election being called before year-end, viewing the post-2025 arrangement as stable absent unforeseen shocks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term.

An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,162
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 7:45 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Elecciones anticipadas de Groenlandia convocadas para el 31 de diciembre" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Se convocarán elecciones anticipadas en Groenlandia antes del 31 de diciembre?" con 11%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 11¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 11% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Elecciones anticipadas de Groenlandia convocadas para el 31 de diciembre" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 18, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Elecciones anticipadas de Groenlandia convocadas para el 31 de diciembre", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Elecciones anticipadas de Groenlandia convocadas para el 31 de diciembre" es "¿Se convocarán elecciones anticipadas en Groenlandia antes del 31 de diciembre?" con 11%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 11% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Elecciones anticipadas de Groenlandia convocadas para el 31 de diciembre" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.