Recent polling from July 2026 shows Morena holding a commanding lead in Guerrero voter preferences for the 2027 gubernatorial election, with 42-51% support compared to single digits for PRI and other parties, yet preferences among individual contenders remain highly fragmented. Beatriz Mojica Morga leads internal Morena surveys and overall name recognition in several measurements, followed closely by figures such as Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros, Abelina López Rodríguez, and others including Félix Salgado Macedonio and Karen Castrejón Trujillo. The wide dispersion of Polymarket pricing reflects the pre-nomination phase, limited name ID for many aspirants, and uncertainty over which candidates will secure party backing or run independently. Upcoming party selection processes and additional surveys through late 2026 could consolidate support and shift probabilities as the field narrows ahead of the June 2027 vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGabriela Bernal Reséndiz 34%
Erika Lorena Lührs 31.7%
Alberto López Rosas 31%
Guadalupe Eguiluz 29%

Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
24%

Erika Lorena Lührs
27%

Alberto López Rosas
31%

Guadalupe Eguiluz
15%

Iván Hernández Díaz
29%

Abelina López Rodríguez
26%

Beatriz Mojica Morga
24%

Julián López Galeana
23%

Rogelio Ortega Martínez
22%

Javier Saldaña Almazán
22%

Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
21%

Eloy Salmerón Díaz
21%

Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
21%

Genaro Vázquez Flores
20%

Manuel Añorve Baños
20%

Héctor Astudillo Flores
20%

Karen Castrejón Trujillo
18%

Mario Moreno Arcos
18%

Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
17%

Yesenia Galarza Castro
17%

Esthela Damián Peralta
16%

Rubén Cayetano García
16%

Carlos Reyes Torres
6%

Alejandro Bravo Abarca
6%

Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
21%

Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
14%

Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
21%

Félix Salgado Macedonio
1%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz 34%
Erika Lorena Lührs 31.7%
Alberto López Rosas 31%
Guadalupe Eguiluz 29%

Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
24%

Erika Lorena Lührs
27%

Alberto López Rosas
31%

Guadalupe Eguiluz
15%

Iván Hernández Díaz
29%

Abelina López Rodríguez
26%

Beatriz Mojica Morga
24%

Julián López Galeana
23%

Rogelio Ortega Martínez
22%

Javier Saldaña Almazán
22%

Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
21%

Eloy Salmerón Díaz
21%

Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
21%

Genaro Vázquez Flores
20%

Manuel Añorve Baños
20%

Héctor Astudillo Flores
20%

Karen Castrejón Trujillo
18%

Mario Moreno Arcos
18%

Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
17%

Yesenia Galarza Castro
17%

Esthela Damián Peralta
16%

Rubén Cayetano García
16%

Carlos Reyes Torres
6%

Alejandro Bravo Abarca
6%

Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
21%

Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
14%

Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
21%

Félix Salgado Macedonio
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from July 2026 shows Morena holding a commanding lead in Guerrero voter preferences for the 2027 gubernatorial election, with 42-51% support compared to single digits for PRI and other parties, yet preferences among individual contenders remain highly fragmented. Beatriz Mojica Morga leads internal Morena surveys and overall name recognition in several measurements, followed closely by figures such as Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros, Abelina López Rodríguez, and others including Félix Salgado Macedonio and Karen Castrejón Trujillo. The wide dispersion of Polymarket pricing reflects the pre-nomination phase, limited name ID for many aspirants, and uncertainty over which candidates will secure party backing or run independently. Upcoming party selection processes and additional surveys through late 2026 could consolidate support and shift probabilities as the field narrows ahead of the June 2027 vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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