Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 drove recent sentiment, delivering reported scores of 56% on Humanity’s Last Exam with tools and roughly 43.5–46.9% without, placing it near the top of public leaderboards but behind leading closed models such as Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants at 59–65%. The benchmark’s 2,500 expert-level questions across math, science, and humanities reward advanced reasoning and tool use, areas where Moonshot’s large context window and open-weight approach support continued fine-tuning and agentic improvements. Trader focus centers on whether additional Kimi iterations or optimizations can close the remaining gap to 50%+ or higher before year-end resolution, amid rapid frontier progress and the inherent uncertainty of model release timelines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$63,733 Vol.
45%+
85%
50%+
35%
55%+
19%
60% o más
11%
65% o más
7%
$63,733 Vol.
45%+
85%
50%+
35%
55%+
19%
60% o más
11%
65% o más
7%
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercado abierto: Jul 23, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Fuente de resolución
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 drove recent sentiment, delivering reported scores of 56% on Humanity’s Last Exam with tools and roughly 43.5–46.9% without, placing it near the top of public leaderboards but behind leading closed models such as Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants at 59–65%. The benchmark’s 2,500 expert-level questions across math, science, and humanities reward advanced reasoning and tool use, areas where Moonshot’s large context window and open-weight approach support continued fine-tuning and agentic improvements. Trader focus centers on whether additional Kimi iterations or optimizations can close the remaining gap to 50%+ or higher before year-end resolution, amid rapid frontier progress and the inherent uncertainty of model release timelines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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