Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 currently lead public HLE leaderboards at 59–65% in tool-augmented and high-reasoning configurations, ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra at roughly 54.7% and earlier GPT-5.4/5.5 Pro variants around 57–58%. Recent model releases and agentic scaffolding have driven these gaps, with Anthropic models showing stronger performance on expert-level math, science, and humanities questions that resist saturation. OpenAI continues advancing reasoning agents and internal capabilities, yet no confirmed late-2026 release has overtaken the frontier. Traders watch for additional frontier drops, benchmark protocol shifts, and whether OpenAI’s next models close the gap before year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$107,737 Vol.
31 dic 2026
55% o más
78%
60% o más
32%
65% o más
16%
70% o más
10%
$107,737 Vol.
55% o más
$34,352 Vol.
78%
60% o más
$41,111 Vol.
32%
65% o más
$9,428 Vol.
16%
70% o más
$5,516 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 currently lead public HLE leaderboards at 59–65% in tool-augmented and high-reasoning configurations, ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra at roughly 54.7% and earlier GPT-5.4/5.5 Pro variants around 57–58%. Recent model releases and agentic scaffolding have driven these gaps, with Anthropic models showing stronger performance on expert-level math, science, and humanities questions that resist saturation. OpenAI continues advancing reasoning agents and internal capabilities, yet no confirmed late-2026 release has overtaken the frontier. Traders watch for additional frontier drops, benchmark protocol shifts, and whether OpenAI’s next models close the gap before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercado abierto: Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
Volumen
$107,737Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 currently lead public HLE leaderboards at 59–65% in tool-augmented and high-reasoning configurations, ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra at roughly 54.7% and earlier GPT-5.4/5.5 Pro variants around 57–58%. Recent model releases and agentic scaffolding have driven these gaps, with Anthropic models showing stronger performance on expert-level math, science, and humanities questions that resist saturation. OpenAI continues advancing reasoning agents and internal capabilities, yet no confirmed late-2026 release has overtaken the frontier. Traders watch for additional frontier drops, benchmark protocol shifts, and whether OpenAI’s next models close the gap before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volumen
$107,737Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 currently lead public HLE leaderboards at 59–65% in tool-augmented and high-reasoning configurations, ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra at roughly 54.7% and earlier GPT-5.4/5.5 Pro variants around 57–58%. Recent model releases and agentic scaffolding have driven these gaps, with Anthropic models showing stronger performance on expert-level math, science, and humanities questions that resist saturation. OpenAI continues advancing reasoning agents and internal capabilities, yet no confirmed late-2026 release has overtaken the frontier. Traders watch for additional frontier drops, benchmark protocol shifts, and whether OpenAI’s next models close the gap before year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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