Traders see 14°C and 15°C as nearly equally likely because ensemble forecasts place Buenos Aires’ June 26 maximum right at the long-term seasonal average, with only modest spread from expected southerly flow and limited moisture. Subtle differences in predicted low-level cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and weak frontal timing can shift the peak by 1°C, keeping those two outcomes dominant. Official resolution will rely on Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station data, where urban heat-island effects and precise measurement timing add final uncertainty. New model runs overnight and early-morning observations will be the next key inputs before the market settles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 26 de junio?
14°C 100.0%
$41,963 Vol.
$41,963 Vol.
14°C
100%
14°C 100.0%
$41,963 Vol.
$41,963 Vol.
14°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 24, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
Traders see 14°C and 15°C as nearly equally likely because ensemble forecasts place Buenos Aires’ June 26 maximum right at the long-term seasonal average, with only modest spread from expected southerly flow and limited moisture. Subtle differences in predicted low-level cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and weak frontal timing can shift the peak by 1°C, keeping those two outcomes dominant. Official resolution will rely on Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station data, where urban heat-island effects and precise measurement timing add final uncertainty. New model runs overnight and early-morning observations will be the next key inputs before the market settles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes