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icon for Ganador de las elecciones a alcalde de Hobart
Política·Mayoral

Ganador de las elecciones a alcalde de Hobart

icon for Ganador de las elecciones a alcalde de Hobart
Política·Mayoral

Ganador de las elecciones a alcalde de Hobart

Ryan Posselt 41%

Bill Harvey 41%

Marti Zucco 41%

Mike Dutta 40%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Ryan Posselt 41%

Bill Harvey 41%

Marti Zucco 41%

Mike Dutta 40%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Ryan Posselt

Ryan Posselt

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Bill Harvey

Bill Harvey

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Marti Zucco

Marti Zucco

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Mike Dutta

Mike Dutta

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Louise Bloomfield

Louise Bloomfield

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Harvey Lennon

Harvey Lennon

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for John Kelly

John Kelly

$0 Vol.

20%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open Hobart Lord Mayor contest, following Anna Reynolds’ decision not to seek re-election and her August 2026 departure, has produced a crowded field of sitting councillors and independents under Tasmania’s single transferable vote system. Trader prices cluster tightly among leading contenders including Marti Zucco, Ryan Posselt, Bill Harvey, Mike Dutta, Louise Bloomfield and John Kelly because no candidate holds a dominant base and preferences are expected to decide the outcome. Recent attention has centered on the acting arrangements for Deputy Lord Mayor Zelinda Sherlock, questions over allowances during the transition, and the absence of fresh polling since an earlier EMRS survey that included Reynolds. With voting by post in October, minor shifts in preference flows or late endorsements could quickly separate the pack in this low-profile, multi-candidate race.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
28 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open Hobart Lord Mayor contest, following Anna Reynolds’ decision not to seek re-election and her August 2026 departure, has produced a crowded field of sitting councillors and independents under Tasmania’s single transferable vote system. Trader prices cluster tightly among leading contenders including Marti Zucco, Ryan Posselt, Bill Harvey, Mike Dutta, Louise Bloomfield and John Kelly because no candidate holds a dominant base and preferences are expected to decide the outcome. Recent attention has centered on the acting arrangements for Deputy Lord Mayor Zelinda Sherlock, questions over allowances during the transition, and the absence of fresh polling since an earlier EMRS survey that included Reynolds. With voting by post in October, minor shifts in preference flows or late endorsements could quickly separate the pack in this low-profile, multi-candidate race.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
28 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones a alcalde de Hobart" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Ryan Posselt" con 41%, seguido de "Bill Harvey" con 41%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 41¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones a alcalde de Hobart" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 3, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones a alcalde de Hobart", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones a alcalde de Hobart" es "Ryan Posselt" con 41%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Bill Harvey" con 41%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones a alcalde de Hobart" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.